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icon for Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia

icon for Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$108 Vol.

93%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$102 Vol.

6%

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella leads the market for securing the most votes in Antioquia during Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, reflecting his first-round performance in the department and broader right-leaning support there. The independent candidate of the Defenders of the Homeland movement captured a plurality nationally on May 31 with 43.7 percent, outperforming leftist senator Iván Cepeda Castro’s 40.9 percent and prevailing in key Andean regions including Antioquia. Cepeda, backed by the Historic Pact and outgoing President Gustavo Petro, advanced as the main challenger but trails in trader pricing at 9 percent for the departmental outcome. The tight national contest and Antioquia’s historical voting patterns in polarized elections continue to shape positioning ahead of the second round, where centrist consolidation and turnout in battleground departments remain key variables.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$191
End Date
Jun 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella leads the market for securing the most votes in Antioquia during Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, reflecting his first-round performance in the department and broader right-leaning support there. The independent candidate of the Defenders of the Homeland movement captured a plurality nationally on May 31 with 43.7 percent, outperforming leftist senator Iván Cepeda Castro’s 40.9 percent and prevailing in key Andean regions including Antioquia. Cepeda, backed by the Historic Pact and outgoing President Gustavo Petro, advanced as the main challenger but trails in trader pricing at 9 percent for the departmental outcome. The tight national contest and Antioquia’s historical voting patterns in polarized elections continue to shape positioning ahead of the second round, where centrist consolidation and turnout in battleground departments remain key variables.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$191
End Date
Jun 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 93%, followed by "Iván Cepeda Castro" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia" is "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iván Cepeda Castro" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.