Abelardo de la Espriella leads the market for securing the most votes in Antioquia during Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, reflecting his first-round performance in the department and broader right-leaning support there. The independent candidate of the Defenders of the Homeland movement captured a plurality nationally on May 31 with 43.7 percent, outperforming leftist senator Iván Cepeda Castro’s 40.9 percent and prevailing in key Andean regions including Antioquia. Cepeda, backed by the Historic Pact and outgoing President Gustavo Petro, advanced as the main challenger but trails in trader pricing at 9 percent for the departmental outcome. The tight national contest and Antioquia’s historical voting patterns in polarized elections continue to shape positioning ahead of the second round, where centrist consolidation and turnout in battleground departments remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Abelardo de la Espriella
93%

Iván Cepeda Castro
6%

Abelardo de la Espriella
93%

Iván Cepeda Castro
6%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella leads the market for securing the most votes in Antioquia during Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, reflecting his first-round performance in the department and broader right-leaning support there. The independent candidate of the Defenders of the Homeland movement captured a plurality nationally on May 31 with 43.7 percent, outperforming leftist senator Iván Cepeda Castro’s 40.9 percent and prevailing in key Andean regions including Antioquia. Cepeda, backed by the Historic Pact and outgoing President Gustavo Petro, advanced as the main challenger but trails in trader pricing at 9 percent for the departmental outcome. The tight national contest and Antioquia’s historical voting patterns in polarized elections continue to shape positioning ahead of the second round, where centrist consolidation and turnout in battleground departments remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions