Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen
16%

Jordan Bardella
78%

Éric Zemmour
5%

Édouard Philippe
47%

David Lisnard
6%

Xavier Bertrand
4%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

François Ruffin
3%

Gabriel Attal
26%

Bruno Retailleau
8%

François Hollande
5%

Raphaël Glucksmann
27%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
36%

Marine Tondelier
6%

Fabien Roussel
6%

Olivier Faure
5%

Dominique de Villepin
7%

Ségolène Royal
4%

François Asselineau
4%

Clémentine Autain
4%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
3%

Michel Barnier
3%

Valérie Pécresse
3%

François Bayrou
3%

Élisabeth Borne
4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%

Jean Castex
3%

Gérald Darmanin
7%

Carole Delga
4%

Bernard Cazeneuve
6%

Manuel Bompard
5%

Mathilde Panot
3%

Other
33%

Sarah Knafo
6%

Juan Branco
3%

Clémence Guetté
12%

Sébastien Lecornu
4%
$2,207 Vol.

Marine Le Pen
16%

Jordan Bardella
78%

Éric Zemmour
5%

Édouard Philippe
47%

David Lisnard
6%

Xavier Bertrand
4%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

François Ruffin
3%

Gabriel Attal
26%

Bruno Retailleau
8%

François Hollande
5%

Raphaël Glucksmann
27%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
36%

Marine Tondelier
6%

Fabien Roussel
6%

Olivier Faure
5%

Dominique de Villepin
7%

Ségolène Royal
4%

François Asselineau
4%

Clémentine Autain
4%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
3%

Michel Barnier
3%

Valérie Pécresse
3%

François Bayrou
3%

Élisabeth Borne
4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%

Jean Castex
3%

Gérald Darmanin
7%

Carole Delga
4%

Bernard Cazeneuve
6%

Manuel Bompard
5%

Mathilde Panot
3%

Other
33%

Sarah Knafo
6%

Juan Branco
3%

Clémence Guetté
12%

Sébastien Lecornu
4%
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...
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