Polarization between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda has kept the race tight after the May 31 first round produced a narrow 2.8-point margin, with both advancing to the June 21 runoff. First-round turnout reached a record 57.9 percent amid structural divisions that sidelined centrist options. Traders price the runoff in the 56-64 percent range because high-stakes mobilization of undecided and eliminated-candidate voters could sustain or slightly boost participation, while short campaign timelines and potential abstention among less-engaged groups may cap gains. Recent violence concerns and regional security dynamics add uncertainty to turnout levels without shifting the core competitive balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated56-60% 49%
60-64% 42%
64%+ 41%
<52% 26%
NEW
NEW
Jun 22, 2026
<52%
26%
52-56%
22%
56-60%
49%
60-64%
42%
64%+
41%
56-60% 49%
60-64% 42%
64%+ 41%
<52% 26%
NEW
NEW
Jun 22, 2026
<52%
$71 Vol.
26%
52-56%
$50 Vol.
22%
56-60%
$0 Vol.
49%
60-64%
$0 Vol.
42%
64%+
$0 Vol.
41%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Polarization between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda has kept the race tight after the May 31 first round produced a narrow 2.8-point margin, with both advancing to the June 21 runoff. First-round turnout reached a record 57.9 percent amid structural divisions that sidelined centrist options. Traders price the runoff in the 56-64 percent range because high-stakes mobilization of undecided and eliminated-candidate voters could sustain or slightly boost participation, while short campaign timelines and potential abstention among less-engaged groups may cap gains. Recent violence concerns and regional security dynamics add uncertainty to turnout levels without shifting the core competitive balance.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$121End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Polarization between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda has kept the race tight after the May 31 first round produced a narrow 2.8-point margin, with both advancing to the June 21 runoff. First-round turnout reached a record 57.9 percent amid structural divisions that sidelined centrist options. Traders price the runoff in the 56-64 percent range because high-stakes mobilization of undecided and eliminated-candidate voters could sustain or slightly boost participation, while short campaign timelines and potential abstention among less-engaged groups may cap gains. Recent violence concerns and regional security dynamics add uncertainty to turnout levels without shifting the core competitive balance.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$121End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polarization between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda has kept the race tight after the May 31 first round produced a narrow 2.8-point margin, with both advancing to the June 21 runoff. First-round turnout reached a record 57.9 percent amid structural divisions that sidelined centrist options. Traders price the runoff in the 56-64 percent range because high-stakes mobilization of undecided and eliminated-candidate voters could sustain or slightly boost participation, while short campaign timelines and potential abstention among less-engaged groups may cap gains. Recent violence concerns and regional security dynamics add uncertainty to turnout levels without shifting the core competitive balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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