In Colombia’s presidential runoff, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for the most votes in Bogotá, with leading options clustered at 50 percent implied probability and specific contenders near 44–45 percent. This parity stems from balanced support among urban voters, where no candidate has secured a clear edge through recent campaign activity, coalition alignments, or localized polling. Key variables include turnout patterns in the capital, targeted messaging on security and economic policy, and any shifts in endorsements that could sway independent or swing blocs. Scheduled debates or intensified ground efforts in Bogotá may tip the outcome, as historical patterns show capital results often hinge on late momentum in runoff scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Jun 22, 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
59%
Abelardo de la Espriella
37%
NEW
NEW
Jun 22, 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$0 Vol.
59%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$0 Vol.
37%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In Colombia’s presidential runoff, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for the most votes in Bogotá, with leading options clustered at 50 percent implied probability and specific contenders near 44–45 percent. This parity stems from balanced support among urban voters, where no candidate has secured a clear edge through recent campaign activity, coalition alignments, or localized polling. Key variables include turnout patterns in the capital, targeted messaging on security and economic policy, and any shifts in endorsements that could sway independent or swing blocs. Scheduled debates or intensified ground efforts in Bogotá may tip the outcome, as historical patterns show capital results often hinge on late momentum in runoff scenarios.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In Colombia’s presidential runoff, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for the most votes in Bogotá, with leading options clustered at 50 percent implied probability and specific contenders near 44–45 percent. This parity stems from balanced support among urban voters, where no candidate has secured a clear edge through recent campaign activity, coalition alignments, or localized polling. Key variables include turnout patterns in the capital, targeted messaging on security and economic policy, and any shifts in endorsements that could sway independent or swing blocs. Scheduled debates or intensified ground efforts in Bogotá may tip the outcome, as historical patterns show capital results often hinge on late momentum in runoff scenarios.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$0End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Colombia’s presidential runoff, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for the most votes in Bogotá, with leading options clustered at 50 percent implied probability and specific contenders near 44–45 percent. This parity stems from balanced support among urban voters, where no candidate has secured a clear edge through recent campaign activity, coalition alignments, or localized polling. Key variables include turnout patterns in the capital, targeted messaging on security and economic policy, and any shifts in endorsements that could sway independent or swing blocs. Scheduled debates or intensified ground efforts in Bogotá may tip the outcome, as historical patterns show capital results often hinge on late momentum in runoff scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
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Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
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