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Politics·Main Election

Zambia Presidential Election Winner

icon for Zambia Presidential Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Zambia Presidential Election Winner

Hakainde Hichilema 47%

Fred M'membe 44%

Brian Mundubile 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Hakainde Hichilema 47%

Fred M'membe 44%

Brian Mundubile 41%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Hakainde Hichilema

Hakainde Hichilema

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Fred M'membe

Fred M'membe

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Brian Mundubile

Brian Mundubile

$0 Vol.

41%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema of the United Party for National Development seeks a second term in Zambia’s 13 August 2026 general election amid a fragmented opposition field that includes alliance candidate Brian Mundubile of the Forum for Democracy and Development and Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party. Recent candidate nominations in May 2026 and the start of the three-month campaign period have highlighted multiple viable contenders without clear consolidation behind any single challenger. Polling trends show Hichilema ahead yet with substantial undecided voters and regional economic pressures that could influence turnout. The broad distribution of market probabilities across numerous names reflects trader assessment of these variables, including potential shifts from alliance negotiations, voter mobilization, or late developments before the first-past-the-post threshold is met.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Incumbent Hakainde Hichilema of the United Party for National Development seeks a second term in Zambia’s 13 August 2026 general election amid a fragmented opposition field that includes alliance candidate Brian Mundubile of the Forum for Democracy and Development and Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party. Recent candidate nominations in May 2026 and the start of the three-month campaign period have highlighted multiple viable contenders without clear consolidation behind any single challenger. Polling trends show Hichilema ahead yet with substantial undecided voters and regional economic pressures that could influence turnout. The broad distribution of market probabilities across numerous names reflects trader assessment of these variables, including potential shifts from alliance negotiations, voter mobilization, or late developments before the first-past-the-post threshold is met.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zambia Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hakainde Hichilema" at 47%, followed by "Fred M'membe" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Zambia Presidential Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Zambia Presidential Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Zambia Presidential Election Winner" is "Hakainde Hichilema" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fred M'membe" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Zambia Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.