President Bola Tinubu’s position as incumbent and his decisive victory in the All Progressives Congress presidential primary have anchored trader consensus around his re-election prospects for the January 2027 vote. The ruling party’s unified backing and access to state resources contrast with fractures in opposition ranks, including recent defections by Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso from a proposed coalition that aimed to consolidate anti-APC votes. These divisions, alongside limited momentum for challengers such as Rotimi Amaechi, have kept alternative candidacies at lower implied probabilities. Upcoming opposition primaries and regional alliance talks remain the main variables that could still influence the field before the election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBola Tinubu 63%
Peter Obi 25%
Rotimi Amaechi 12.5%
Rabiu Kwankwaso <1%
$23,077 Vol.
$23,077 Vol.
16 ene 2027
Bola Tinubu
63%
Peter Obi
25%
Rotimi Amaechi
13%
Rabiu Kwankwaso
<1%
Omoyele Sowore
<1%
Bola Tinubu 63%
Peter Obi 25%
Rotimi Amaechi 12.5%
Rabiu Kwankwaso <1%
$23,077 Vol.
$23,077 Vol.
16 ene 2027
Bola Tinubu
$11,026 Vol.
63%
Peter Obi
$5,625 Vol.
25%
Rotimi Amaechi
$2,683 Vol.
13%
Rabiu Kwankwaso
$2,256 Vol.
<1%
Omoyele Sowore
$1,487 Vol.
<1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).President Bola Tinubu’s position as incumbent and his decisive victory in the All Progressives Congress presidential primary have anchored trader consensus around his re-election prospects for the January 2027 vote. The ruling party’s unified backing and access to state resources contrast with fractures in opposition ranks, including recent defections by Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso from a proposed coalition that aimed to consolidate anti-APC votes. These divisions, alongside limited momentum for challengers such as Rotimi Amaechi, have kept alternative candidacies at lower implied probabilities. Upcoming opposition primaries and regional alliance talks remain the main variables that could still influence the field before the election.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volumen
$23,077Fecha de finalización
16 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).President Bola Tinubu’s position as incumbent and his decisive victory in the All Progressives Congress presidential primary have anchored trader consensus around his re-election prospects for the January 2027 vote. The ruling party’s unified backing and access to state resources contrast with fractures in opposition ranks, including recent defections by Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso from a proposed coalition that aimed to consolidate anti-APC votes. These divisions, alongside limited momentum for challengers such as Rotimi Amaechi, have kept alternative candidacies at lower implied probabilities. Upcoming opposition primaries and regional alliance talks remain the main variables that could still influence the field before the election.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volumen
$23,077Fecha de finalización
16 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Bola Tinubu’s position as incumbent and his decisive victory in the All Progressives Congress presidential primary have anchored trader consensus around his re-election prospects for the January 2027 vote. The ruling party’s unified backing and access to state resources contrast with fractures in opposition ranks, including recent defections by Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso from a proposed coalition that aimed to consolidate anti-APC votes. These divisions, alongside limited momentum for challengers such as Rotimi Amaechi, have kept alternative candidacies at lower implied probabilities. Upcoming opposition primaries and regional alliance talks remain the main variables that could still influence the field before the election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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