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Politics·Primaries

Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

Megan Degenfelder 73.4%

Eric Barlow 20.2%

Ogen Driskill 12.8%

Curt Meier 12.4%

Polymarket

$49,929 Vol.

Megan Degenfelder 73.4%

Eric Barlow 20.2%

Ogen Driskill 12.8%

Curt Meier 12.4%

Polymarket

$49,929 Vol.

Megan Degenfelder

$5,133 Vol.

73%

Eric Barlow

$17,720 Vol.

20%

Ogen Driskill

$1,268 Vol.

13%

Curt Meier

$1,549 Vol.

12%

Tara Nethercott

$1,368 Vol.

12%

Bo Biteman

$2,317 Vol.

9%

Reid Rasner

$2,379 Vol.

8%

Paul Ulrich

$1,349 Vol.

8%

Chip Neiman

$1,165 Vol.

8%

Cheri Steinmetz

$1,234 Vol.

7%

Mark Gordon

$1,453 Vol.

6%

Chuck Gray

$1,519 Vol.

2%

Brent Bien

$2,189 Vol.

2%

Joseph Kibler

$7,051 Vol.

1%

Harriet Hageman

$2,235 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Megan Degenfelder leads trader consensus at 73% implied probability to win Wyoming's August 18 Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting her statewide name recognition as superintendent of public instruction, President Trump's January endorsement, Rep. Harriet Hageman's March backing, and support from House GOP leaders including Speaker Eric Barlow. Term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon's April decision not to seek re-election opened the field, fragmenting opposition among over a dozen candidates and favoring the frontrunner in Wyoming's conservative primary electorate. Eric Barlow trails at 20% as the strongest challenger, buoyed by his legislative experience, while others like Curt Meier hover below 10%. No public polls exist, but markets anticipate consolidation ahead of the May 29 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$49,929
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Megan Degenfelder leads trader consensus at 73% implied probability to win Wyoming's August 18 Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting her statewide name recognition as superintendent of public instruction, President Trump's January endorsement, Rep. Harriet Hageman's March backing, and support from House GOP leaders including Speaker Eric Barlow. Term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon's April decision not to seek re-election opened the field, fragmenting opposition among over a dozen candidates and favoring the frontrunner in Wyoming's conservative primary electorate. Eric Barlow trails at 20% as the strongest challenger, buoyed by his legislative experience, while others like Curt Meier hover below 10%. No public polls exist, but markets anticipate consolidation ahead of the May 29 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$49,929
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Megan Degenfelder" at 73%, followed by "Eric Barlow" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $49.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Megan Degenfelder" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eric Barlow" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.