Recent polling from May 2026 shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats at 32–34%, holding a clear lead at 52–55% overall ahead of the September 13 Riksdag election. This positions the party to form the next government and return Andersson to the premiership. The incumbent Tidö arrangement under Ulf Kristersson trails at 42–46%, reflecting voter shifts since 2022. Kristersson’s April announcement of deeper Sweden Democrats involvement in any future right-wing cabinet has not reversed the polling gap. Traders therefore assign Andersson the dominant probability, with limited scope for Kristersson or Jimmie Åkesson absent major late movement in bloc support or coalition dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson 75%
Ulf Kristersson 24%
Jimmie Åkesson 1.7%
Ebba Busch <1%
$2,098,126 Vol.
$2,098,126 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Magdalena Andersson
75%
Ulf Kristersson
24%
Jimmie Åkesson
2%
Ebba Busch
<1%
Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%
Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%
Amanda Lind
<1%
Simona Mohamsson
<1%
Daniel Helldén
<1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 75%
Ulf Kristersson 24%
Jimmie Åkesson 1.7%
Ebba Busch <1%
$2,098,126 Vol.
$2,098,126 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Magdalena Andersson
$90,756 Vol.
75%
Ulf Kristersson
$88,476 Vol.
24%
Jimmie Åkesson
$1,367,035 Vol.
2%
Ebba Busch
$292,319 Vol.
<1%
Anna-Karin Hatt
$26,912 Vol.
<1%
Nooshi Dadgostar
$27,192 Vol.
<1%
Amanda Lind
$42,471 Vol.
<1%
Simona Mohamsson
$71,216 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Helldén
$66,766 Vol.
<1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
$24,983 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling from May 2026 shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats at 32–34%, holding a clear lead at 52–55% overall ahead of the September 13 Riksdag election. This positions the party to form the next government and return Andersson to the premiership. The incumbent Tidö arrangement under Ulf Kristersson trails at 42–46%, reflecting voter shifts since 2022. Kristersson’s April announcement of deeper Sweden Democrats involvement in any future right-wing cabinet has not reversed the polling gap. Traders therefore assign Andersson the dominant probability, with limited scope for Kristersson or Jimmie Åkesson absent major late movement in bloc support or coalition dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Volume
$2,098,126End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling from May 2026 shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats at 32–34%, holding a clear lead at 52–55% overall ahead of the September 13 Riksdag election. This positions the party to form the next government and return Andersson to the premiership. The incumbent Tidö arrangement under Ulf Kristersson trails at 42–46%, reflecting voter shifts since 2022. Kristersson’s April announcement of deeper Sweden Democrats involvement in any future right-wing cabinet has not reversed the polling gap. Traders therefore assign Andersson the dominant probability, with limited scope for Kristersson or Jimmie Åkesson absent major late movement in bloc support or coalition dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,098,126End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from May 2026 shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats at 32–34%, holding a clear lead at 52–55% overall ahead of the September 13 Riksdag election. This positions the party to form the next government and return Andersson to the premiership. The incumbent Tidö arrangement under Ulf Kristersson trails at 42–46%, reflecting voter shifts since 2022. Kristersson’s April announcement of deeper Sweden Democrats involvement in any future right-wing cabinet has not reversed the polling gap. Traders therefore assign Andersson the dominant probability, with limited scope for Kristersson or Jimmie Åkesson absent major late movement in bloc support or coalition dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions