In Vermont's wide-open Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, trader consensus gives Attorney General Charity Clark a slight 14.5% implied probability edge, reflecting her high name recognition from recent lawsuits blocking federal executive orders on mail restrictions and protecting gender-affirming care. Treasurer Mike Pieciak trails at 9.5%, supported by his fiscal management role amid economic pressures, while former 2024 nominee Esther Charlestin sits at 2.6% following her general election loss. Declared entrants like economist Amanda Janoo and child care advocate Aly Richards have yet to consolidate support. Key differentiators include Clark's prosecutorial experience versus Pieciak's financial expertise; endorsements, fundraising ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, and popular incumbent Phil Scott's re-election plans could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMike Pieciak 13%
Charity Clark 7%
Esther Charlestin 2.6%
$64,052 Vol.
$64,052 Vol.
Mike Pieciak
9%
Charity Clark
14%
Esther Charlestin
3%
Mike Pieciak 13%
Charity Clark 7%
Esther Charlestin 2.6%
$64,052 Vol.
$64,052 Vol.
Mike Pieciak
9%
Charity Clark
14%
Esther Charlestin
3%
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Vermont's wide-open Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, trader consensus gives Attorney General Charity Clark a slight 14.5% implied probability edge, reflecting her high name recognition from recent lawsuits blocking federal executive orders on mail restrictions and protecting gender-affirming care. Treasurer Mike Pieciak trails at 9.5%, supported by his fiscal management role amid economic pressures, while former 2024 nominee Esther Charlestin sits at 2.6% following her general election loss. Declared entrants like economist Amanda Janoo and child care advocate Aly Richards have yet to consolidate support. Key differentiators include Clark's prosecutorial experience versus Pieciak's financial expertise; endorsements, fundraising ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, and popular incumbent Phil Scott's re-election plans could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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