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Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Cinde Warmington 74%

Deaglan McEachern 7.8%

John Kiper 5%

Tom Sherman 4.7%

Polymarket

$23,065 Vol.

Cinde Warmington 74%

Deaglan McEachern 7.8%

John Kiper 5%

Tom Sherman 4.7%

Polymarket

$23,065 Vol.

Cinde Warmington

$8,731 Vol.

73%

Deaglan McEachern

$8,767 Vol.

8%

John Kiper

$2,540 Vol.

5%

Tom Sherman

$1,875 Vol.

5%

Donovan Fenton

$1,151 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington leads Polymarket trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to win the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her early February announcement, prior statewide experience as executive councilor, and established campaign infrastructure unmatched by rivals. Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's late February decision against entering consolidated support behind her, while lower-profile contenders like Jon Kiper (5%), Tom Sherman (4.4%), and others lack comparable organization or recent momentum. Absent primary polls, odds reflect the thin field and candidate filing deadline in June, with no major developments in the past 30 days—beyond general election surveys like the April 24 UNH poll pitting Warmington against GOP incumbent Kelly Ayotte—altering trader views on her nomination path. Late entrants could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,065
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington leads Polymarket trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to win the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her early February announcement, prior statewide experience as executive councilor, and established campaign infrastructure unmatched by rivals. Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's late February decision against entering consolidated support behind her, while lower-profile contenders like Jon Kiper (5%), Tom Sherman (4.4%), and others lack comparable organization or recent momentum. Absent primary polls, odds reflect the thin field and candidate filing deadline in June, with no major developments in the past 30 days—beyond general election surveys like the April 24 UNH poll pitting Warmington against GOP incumbent Kelly Ayotte—altering trader views on her nomination path. Late entrants could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,065
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cinde Warmington" at 73%, followed by "Deaglan McEachern" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $23.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Cinde Warmington" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Deaglan McEachern" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.