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Peru Presidential Election Winner

icon for Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori 65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 33.0%

Rafael López Aliaga 2.4%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$48,775,587 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 33.0%

Rafael López Aliaga 2.4%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$48,775,587 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$5,745,825 Vol.

65%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$12,174,098 Vol.

33%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$10,960,950 Vol.

2%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$5,389,229 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$2,095,972 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$641,146 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$251,152 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$134,601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$243,856 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$322,157 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$203,926 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$368,058 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$140,934 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$159,443 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$469,750 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$435,616 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$2,139,350 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$275,918 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$4,066,753 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$838,530 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$220,082 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$797,685 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$700,674 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's commanding 17% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote propelled her to the June 7 runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who edged Rafael López Aliaga for second place with 12% as the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) finalized over 96% of ballots by April 27. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Fujimori's edge from strong urban Lima support, expatriate votes, and right-wing consolidation potential, positioning her as the implied favorite despite recent Ipsos polls showing a deadlocked 38-38% runoff matchup. Sánchez's late surge via leftist backing keeps him competitive, but fragmentation among other candidates and Fujimori's prior near-wins bolster her path to victory amid ongoing vote challenges.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$48,775,587
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's commanding 17% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote propelled her to the June 7 runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who edged Rafael López Aliaga for second place with 12% as the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) finalized over 96% of ballots by April 27. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Fujimori's edge from strong urban Lima support, expatriate votes, and right-wing consolidation potential, positioning her as the implied favorite despite recent Ipsos polls showing a deadlocked 38-38% runoff matchup. Sánchez's late surge via leftist backing keeps him competitive, but fragmentation among other candidates and Fujimori's prior near-wins bolster her path to victory amid ongoing vote challenges.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$48,775,587
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Peru Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keiko Fujimori" at 65%, followed by "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Peru Presidential Election Winner" has generated $48.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Peru Presidential Election Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Peru Presidential Election Winner" is "Keiko Fujimori" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Peru Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.