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Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Kendall Qualls 67%

Lisa Demuth 24%

Mike Lindell 16%

Patrick Knight <1%

Polymarket

$416,342 Vol.

Kendall Qualls 67%

Lisa Demuth 24%

Mike Lindell 16%

Patrick Knight <1%

Polymarket

$416,342 Vol.

Kendall Qualls

$49,600 Vol.

50%

Lisa Demuth

$63,883 Vol.

24%

Mike Lindell

$98,576 Vol.

16%

Patrick Knight

$11,668 Vol.

1%

Phil Parrish

$24,628 Vol.

<1%

Scott Jensen

$134,047 Vol.

<1%

Brad Kohler

$7,029 Vol.

<1%

Jeff Johnson

$4,221 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$14,386 Vol.

<1%

Chris Madel

$8,305 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Kendall Qualls leads the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary market after securing the party endorsement at the late-May state convention in Duluth following a protracted 10-ballot process marked by voting glitches and delegate disputes. House Speaker Lisa Demuth, previously viewed as the frontrunner in caucus straw polls, finished second and reversed an earlier pledge to abide by the endorsement, filing for the August 11 primary alongside MyPillow founder Mike Lindell. Early voting begins June 26, with Qualls positioned as the consensus choice among party delegates while Demuth retains institutional visibility and Lindell draws support from a distinct base; remaining candidates trail significantly with minimal recent activity.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$416,342
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Kendall Qualls leads the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary market after securing the party endorsement at the late-May state convention in Duluth following a protracted 10-ballot process marked by voting glitches and delegate disputes. House Speaker Lisa Demuth, previously viewed as the frontrunner in caucus straw polls, finished second and reversed an earlier pledge to abide by the endorsement, filing for the August 11 primary alongside MyPillow founder Mike Lindell. Early voting begins June 26, with Qualls positioned as the consensus choice among party delegates while Demuth retains institutional visibility and Lindell draws support from a distinct base; remaining candidates trail significantly with minimal recent activity.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$416,342
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kendall Qualls" at 50%, followed by "Lisa Demuth" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $416.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Kendall Qualls" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lisa Demuth" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.