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Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Amy Klobuchar 94%

Steve Simon 3.9%

Tim Walz 3.6%

Bill Gates Jr. 2.7%

Polymarket

$18,826 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar 94%

Steve Simon 3.9%

Tim Walz 3.6%

Bill Gates Jr. 2.7%

Polymarket

$18,826 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar

$15,024 Vol.

94%

Steve Simon

$0 Vol.

4%

Tim Walz

$1,415 Vol.

4%

Bill Gates Jr.

$2,206 Vol.

3%

Kobey Layne

$182 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar holds commanding trader consensus at 93.5% to win the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, fueled by her January 29 announcement entering the open race after Governor Tim Walz's January 5 decision against a third term, her proven statewide victories, and $4.8 million fundraising haul by mid-April. With a thin field of minor challengers like Bill E. Gates Jr. and Kobey Layne, and no other major Democrats filing ahead of the June 2 deadline, her name recognition and party unification drive the lopsided odds, echoing historical patterns where established incumbents dominate primaries. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile entry, emerging primary polls showing a viable alternative, or personal scandal altering voter sentiment before ballots finalize.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$18,826
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar holds commanding trader consensus at 93.5% to win the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, fueled by her January 29 announcement entering the open race after Governor Tim Walz's January 5 decision against a third term, her proven statewide victories, and $4.8 million fundraising haul by mid-April. With a thin field of minor challengers like Bill E. Gates Jr. and Kobey Layne, and no other major Democrats filing ahead of the June 2 deadline, her name recognition and party unification drive the lopsided odds, echoing historical patterns where established incumbents dominate primaries. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile entry, emerging primary polls showing a viable alternative, or personal scandal altering voter sentiment before ballots finalize.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$18,826
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Amy Klobuchar" at 94%, followed by "Steve Simon" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $18.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Amy Klobuchar" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Simon" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.