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icon for Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Perry Johnson 53%

John James 36%

Mike Cox 5.4%

William Null 2.7%

Polymarket

$30,975 Vol.

Perry Johnson 53%

John James 36%

Mike Cox 5.4%

William Null 2.7%

Polymarket

$30,975 Vol.

Perry Johnson

$10,910 Vol.

53%

John James

$9,348 Vol.

36%

Mike Cox

$3,235 Vol.

5%

William Null

$828 Vol.

3%

Joyce Gipson

$528 Vol.

2%

Anthony Hudson

$970 Vol.

1%

Tom Leonard

$1,343 Vol.

1%

Karla Wagner

$752 Vol.

1%

Aric Nesbitt

$1,375 Vol.

<1%

Evan Space

$759 Vol.

<1%

Ralph Rebandt

$931 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Perry Johnson's lead at 52% trader consensus in the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary stems primarily from his self-funding over $9 million for a massive ad blitz, boosting name recognition from his 2022 bid despite trailing in recent polls like the Detroit Regional Chamber/Glengariff survey (James 37%, Johnson 20%, April 17-19). U.S. Rep. John James holds 35.5% on polling strength and congressional profile, though backlash intensified after he skipped a key Oakland County GOP debate last week to vote in Congress, prompting rival attacks. Mike Cox sits at 5.4% with steady lower-tier support in a fragmented field of 11 candidates. The August 4 primary looms, with petition qualifications finalized and further debates ahead.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$30,975
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Perry Johnson's lead at 52% trader consensus in the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary stems primarily from his self-funding over $9 million for a massive ad blitz, boosting name recognition from his 2022 bid despite trailing in recent polls like the Detroit Regional Chamber/Glengariff survey (James 37%, Johnson 20%, April 17-19). U.S. Rep. John James holds 35.5% on polling strength and congressional profile, though backlash intensified after he skipped a key Oakland County GOP debate last week to vote in Congress, prompting rival attacks. Mike Cox sits at 5.4% with steady lower-tier support in a fragmented field of 11 candidates. The August 4 primary looms, with petition qualifications finalized and further debates ahead.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$30,975
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Perry Johnson" at 53%, followed by "John James" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $31K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Perry Johnson" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John James" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.