AfD maintains a sustained polling lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, with recent surveys placing it at 34-37% compared to the incumbent SPD at 23-27% and smaller parties in single digits. This eastern state trend reflects broader voter shifts favoring the party in former East German regions, where AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm has positioned the slate as the largest force. The SPD-led coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces eroding support, limiting prospects for retaining the most seats. Other contenders including CDU, Linke, and Grüne show no recent momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus on AfD as the likely plurality winner aligns with these stable patterns three months out, though coalition negotiations or turnout variations could still influence final seat distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental
AfD 87%
SPD 13%
CDU <1%
Linke <1%
$239,386 Vol.
$239,386 Vol.
20 sep 2026
AfD
87%
SPD
13%
CDU
1%
Linke
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 87%
SPD 13%
CDU <1%
Linke <1%
$239,386 Vol.
$239,386 Vol.
20 sep 2026
AfD
$10,485 Vol.
87%
SPD
$38,401 Vol.
13%
CDU
$29,711 Vol.
1%
Linke
$13,235 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$54,808 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$54,255 Vol.
<1%
FW
$24,664 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$13,828 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a sustained polling lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, with recent surveys placing it at 34-37% compared to the incumbent SPD at 23-27% and smaller parties in single digits. This eastern state trend reflects broader voter shifts favoring the party in former East German regions, where AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm has positioned the slate as the largest force. The SPD-led coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces eroding support, limiting prospects for retaining the most seats. Other contenders including CDU, Linke, and Grüne show no recent momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus on AfD as the likely plurality winner aligns with these stable patterns three months out, though coalition negotiations or turnout variations could still influence final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$239,386Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a sustained polling lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, with recent surveys placing it at 34-37% compared to the incumbent SPD at 23-27% and smaller parties in single digits. This eastern state trend reflects broader voter shifts favoring the party in former East German regions, where AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm has positioned the slate as the largest force. The SPD-led coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces eroding support, limiting prospects for retaining the most seats. Other contenders including CDU, Linke, and Grüne show no recent momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus on AfD as the likely plurality winner aligns with these stable patterns three months out, though coalition negotiations or turnout variations could still influence final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$239,386Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a sustained polling lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, with recent surveys placing it at 34-37% compared to the incumbent SPD at 23-27% and smaller parties in single digits. This eastern state trend reflects broader voter shifts favoring the party in former East German regions, where AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm has positioned the slate as the largest force. The SPD-led coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces eroding support, limiting prospects for retaining the most seats. Other contenders including CDU, Linke, and Grüne show no recent momentum to close the gap. Trader consensus on AfD as the likely plurality winner aligns with these stable patterns three months out, though coalition negotiations or turnout variations could still influence final seat distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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