Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on June 14, 2026, center overnight lows in the 77–79°F range, consistent with mid-June climatology where Biscayne Bay sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated minimums through light onshore flow and high humidity. Persistent summer patterns with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and minimal radiational cooling have kept recent daily lows clustered between 76°F and 82°F, reinforcing trader positioning on the 78–79°F bin at 82% implied probability. Absent any incoming frontal passages or atypical dry-air intrusions that could allow deeper cooling, probabilities remain concentrated here, with only modest secondary support for adjacent bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
78-79°F 75%
76-77°F 18.0%
74-75°F 2.2%
72-73°F <1%
$11,426 Vol.
$11,426 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
82%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 75%
76-77°F 18.0%
74-75°F 2.2%
72-73°F <1%
$11,426 Vol.
$11,426 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$471 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$740 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$770 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,417 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$653 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$1,221 Vol.
82%
80-81°F
$3,808 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$956 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$610 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on June 14, 2026, center overnight lows in the 77–79°F range, consistent with mid-June climatology where Biscayne Bay sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated minimums through light onshore flow and high humidity. Persistent summer patterns with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and minimal radiational cooling have kept recent daily lows clustered between 76°F and 82°F, reinforcing trader positioning on the 78–79°F bin at 82% implied probability. Absent any incoming frontal passages or atypical dry-air intrusions that could allow deeper cooling, probabilities remain concentrated here, with only modest secondary support for adjacent bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$11,426End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on June 14, 2026, center overnight lows in the 77–79°F range, consistent with mid-June climatology where Biscayne Bay sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated minimums through light onshore flow and high humidity. Persistent summer patterns with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and minimal radiational cooling have kept recent daily lows clustered between 76°F and 82°F, reinforcing trader positioning on the 78–79°F bin at 82% implied probability. Absent any incoming frontal passages or atypical dry-air intrusions that could allow deeper cooling, probabilities remain concentrated here, with only modest secondary support for adjacent bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,426End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on June 14, 2026, center overnight lows in the 77–79°F range, consistent with mid-June climatology where Biscayne Bay sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated minimums through light onshore flow and high humidity. Persistent summer patterns with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and minimal radiational cooling have kept recent daily lows clustered between 76°F and 82°F, reinforcing trader positioning on the 78–79°F bin at 82% implied probability. Absent any incoming frontal passages or atypical dry-air intrusions that could allow deeper cooling, probabilities remain concentrated here, with only modest secondary support for adjacent bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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