**Persistent cloud cover and light rain during Shanghai’s East Asian Meiyu (plum rain) season are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures on June 15.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a high near 25–27 °C (77–80 °F) under overcast skies with showers, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24–26 °C outcomes (collectively >94 % implied probability). These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the June climatological average of ~27–28 °C. Recent model consensus and the absence of clearing high-pressure systems reinforce this narrow range, with only modest upside risk if breaks in the clouds occur. Traders are therefore pricing in the observed stability of the current synoptic pattern rather than seasonal norms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
25°C 46%
24°C 28%
26°C 21%
23°C 5.5%
NUEVO
$48,460 Vol.
NUEVO
$48,460 Vol.
15 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
28%
25°C
46%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 28%
26°C 21%
23°C 5.5%
NUEVO
$48,460 Vol.
NUEVO
$48,460 Vol.
15 jun 2026
21°C or below
$552 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$19,168 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,665 Vol.
6%
24°C
$4,858 Vol.
28%
25°C
$2,844 Vol.
46%
26°C
$2,391 Vol.
21%
27°C
$3,362 Vol.
3%
28°C
$3,575 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,177 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,476 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,607 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and light rain during Shanghai’s East Asian Meiyu (plum rain) season are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures on June 15.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a high near 25–27 °C (77–80 °F) under overcast skies with showers, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24–26 °C outcomes (collectively >94 % implied probability).
These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the June climatological average of ~27–28 °C. Recent model consensus and the absence of clearing high-pressure systems reinforce this narrow range, with only modest upside risk if breaks in the clouds occur. Traders are therefore pricing in the observed stability of the current synoptic pattern rather than seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$48,460Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and light rain during Shanghai’s East Asian Meiyu (plum rain) season are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures on June 15.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a high near 25–27 °C (77–80 °F) under overcast skies with showers, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24–26 °C outcomes (collectively >94 % implied probability).
These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the June climatological average of ~27–28 °C. Recent model consensus and the absence of clearing high-pressure systems reinforce this narrow range, with only modest upside risk if breaks in the clouds occur. Traders are therefore pricing in the observed stability of the current synoptic pattern rather than seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$48,460Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and light rain during Shanghai’s East Asian Meiyu (plum rain) season are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures on June 15.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a high near 25–27 °C (77–80 °F) under overcast skies with showers, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24–26 °C outcomes (collectively >94 % implied probability). These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the June climatological average of ~27–28 °C. Recent model consensus and the absence of clearing high-pressure systems reinforce this narrow range, with only modest upside risk if breaks in the clouds occur. Traders are therefore pricing in the observed stability of the current synoptic pattern rather than seasonal norms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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