**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets currently converge on an overnight minimum of 72–73°F for New York City on June 14, 2026, driving the market’s strongest implied probability at 44%.** This range reflects a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight, typical of early-summer conditions when daytime highs reach the mid-80s and dew points remain elevated. Recent model runs show only modest spread, keeping lower bins (68–71°F) at combined probabilities under 25% and warmer outcomes (76°F+) as secondary possibilities if mixing or delayed cooling occurs. Official resolution will use the NWS Climatological Report for the Central Park or LaGuardia station, with final data expected shortly after midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 14 de junio?
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 19.3%
70-71°F 11%
68-69°F 7%
$14,283 Vol.
$14,283 Vol.
63°F o menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 19.3%
70-71°F 11%
68-69°F 7%
$14,283 Vol.
$14,283 Vol.
63°F o menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets currently converge on an overnight minimum of 72–73°F for New York City on June 14, 2026, driving the market’s strongest implied probability at 44%.** This range reflects a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight, typical of early-summer conditions when daytime highs reach the mid-80s and dew points remain elevated. Recent model runs show only modest spread, keeping lower bins (68–71°F) at combined probabilities under 25% and warmer outcomes (76°F+) as secondary possibilities if mixing or delayed cooling occurs. Official resolution will use the NWS Climatological Report for the Central Park or LaGuardia station, with final data expected shortly after midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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