Current meteorological forecasts for Mexico City on June 14, 2026, show strong model consensus for a daily maximum near 26°C, aligning with mid-June climatology in the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland setting where diurnal heating typically peaks in the mid-20s°C. Ensemble runs from global and regional models indicate stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and no strong frontal influences that would drive notable departures. This underpins the 95.2% market-implied probability for 26°C as the highest temperature. A realistic challenge would require rapid changes in cloud cover, unforecasted upslope flow, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing that alters peak insolation—outcomes historically rare at this time of year but possible if updated observations deviate sharply from current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 14 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 14 de junio?
26°C 95.2%
27°C 4.6%
28°C 2.3%
19°C o menos <1%
$48,460 Vol.
$48,460 Vol.
14 jun 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
95%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C o más
<1%
26°C 95.2%
27°C 4.6%
28°C 2.3%
19°C o menos <1%
$48,460 Vol.
$48,460 Vol.
14 jun 2026
19°C o menos
$239 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,290 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,150 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$29,225 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,570 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,727 Vol.
95%
27°C
$3,041 Vol.
5%
28°C
$3,003 Vol.
2%
29°C o más
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Mexico City on June 14, 2026, show strong model consensus for a daily maximum near 26°C, aligning with mid-June climatology in the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland setting where diurnal heating typically peaks in the mid-20s°C. Ensemble runs from global and regional models indicate stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and no strong frontal influences that would drive notable departures. This underpins the 95.2% market-implied probability for 26°C as the highest temperature. A realistic challenge would require rapid changes in cloud cover, unforecasted upslope flow, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing that alters peak insolation—outcomes historically rare at this time of year but possible if updated observations deviate sharply from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$48,460Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Mexico City on June 14, 2026, show strong model consensus for a daily maximum near 26°C, aligning with mid-June climatology in the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland setting where diurnal heating typically peaks in the mid-20s°C. Ensemble runs from global and regional models indicate stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and no strong frontal influences that would drive notable departures. This underpins the 95.2% market-implied probability for 26°C as the highest temperature. A realistic challenge would require rapid changes in cloud cover, unforecasted upslope flow, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing that alters peak insolation—outcomes historically rare at this time of year but possible if updated observations deviate sharply from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$48,460Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Mexico City on June 14, 2026, show strong model consensus for a daily maximum near 26°C, aligning with mid-June climatology in the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland setting where diurnal heating typically peaks in the mid-20s°C. Ensemble runs from global and regional models indicate stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and no strong frontal influences that would drive notable departures. This underpins the 95.2% market-implied probability for 26°C as the highest temperature. A realistic challenge would require rapid changes in cloud cover, unforecasted upslope flow, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing that alters peak insolation—outcomes historically rare at this time of year but possible if updated observations deviate sharply from current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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