Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models indicate Cape Town’s maximum temperature on June 6 will likely reach 16–18 °C under post-frontal clearing skies after a cut-off low brought cold, wet, and windy conditions to the Western Cape earlier in the week. June climatology shows average daily highs near 16–17 °C, with limited warming expected from the current maritime air mass and modest northerly flow. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus 16–18 °C range most heavily, reflected in the 39 % market-implied probability for 18 °C as the daily peak, while lower and higher outliers remain discounted absent any model shift toward stronger ridging or offshore flow before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 6?
18°C 44%
19°C 26%
17°C 16%
20°C 13.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
16%
18°C
44%
19°C
26%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 44%
19°C 26%
17°C 16%
20°C 13.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
12°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$105 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$176 Vol.
6%
17°C
$211 Vol.
16%
18°C
$62 Vol.
44%
19°C
$44 Vol.
26%
20°C
$53 Vol.
9%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$23 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models indicate Cape Town’s maximum temperature on June 6 will likely reach 16–18 °C under post-frontal clearing skies after a cut-off low brought cold, wet, and windy conditions to the Western Cape earlier in the week. June climatology shows average daily highs near 16–17 °C, with limited warming expected from the current maritime air mass and modest northerly flow. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus 16–18 °C range most heavily, reflected in the 39 % market-implied probability for 18 °C as the daily peak, while lower and higher outliers remain discounted absent any model shift toward stronger ridging or offshore flow before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$619Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models indicate Cape Town’s maximum temperature on June 6 will likely reach 16–18 °C under post-frontal clearing skies after a cut-off low brought cold, wet, and windy conditions to the Western Cape earlier in the week. June climatology shows average daily highs near 16–17 °C, with limited warming expected from the current maritime air mass and modest northerly flow. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus 16–18 °C range most heavily, reflected in the 39 % market-implied probability for 18 °C as the daily peak, while lower and higher outliers remain discounted absent any model shift toward stronger ridging or offshore flow before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$619Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models indicate Cape Town’s maximum temperature on June 6 will likely reach 16–18 °C under post-frontal clearing skies after a cut-off low brought cold, wet, and windy conditions to the Western Cape earlier in the week. June climatology shows average daily highs near 16–17 °C, with limited warming expected from the current maritime air mass and modest northerly flow. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus 16–18 °C range most heavily, reflected in the 39 % market-implied probability for 18 °C as the daily peak, while lower and higher outliers remain discounted absent any model shift toward stronger ridging or offshore flow before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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