Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir post volume for May 8-15 shows a tight cluster around 25-44 posts, with 40-44 edging at 27% amid historical weekly averages near 30, tempered by post-martyrdom slowdowns under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent activity—sole post May 4 reposting a 2023 critique of US decline—aligns with sparse output since late March (roughly 2/week), as the account curates Ali Khamenei's archival statements amid regime transition and war. Ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, highlighted by Mojtaba's April 30 announcement of new management frameworks, sustain mid-range pricing via potential propaganda surge; de-escalation or leadership health rumors could favor under 20 or <5 bins, while military escalations might push toward 50+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?
<5 78%
40-44 52%
35-39 49%
45-49 49%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
<5
61%
5-9
26%
10-14
26%
15-19
26%
20-24
25%
25-29
26%
30-34
2%
35-39
49%
40-44
52%
45-49
49%
50-54
49%
55-59
2%
60+
3%
<5 78%
40-44 52%
35-39 49%
45-49 49%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
<5
$25 Vol.
61%
5-9
$0 Vol.
26%
10-14
$0 Vol.
26%
15-19
$0 Vol.
26%
20-24
$0 Vol.
25%
25-29
$0 Vol.
26%
30-34
$0 Vol.
2%
35-39
$5 Vol.
49%
40-44
$5 Vol.
52%
45-49
$5 Vol.
49%
50-54
$5 Vol.
49%
55-59
$43 Vol.
2%
60+
$42 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir post volume for May 8-15 shows a tight cluster around 25-44 posts, with 40-44 edging at 27% amid historical weekly averages near 30, tempered by post-martyrdom slowdowns under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent activity—sole post May 4 reposting a 2023 critique of US decline—aligns with sparse output since late March (roughly 2/week), as the account curates Ali Khamenei's archival statements amid regime transition and war. Ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, highlighted by Mojtaba's April 30 announcement of new management frameworks, sustain mid-range pricing via potential propaganda surge; de-escalation or leadership health rumors could favor under 20 or <5 bins, while military escalations might push toward 50+.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$121End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir post volume for May 8-15 shows a tight cluster around 25-44 posts, with 40-44 edging at 27% amid historical weekly averages near 30, tempered by post-martyrdom slowdowns under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent activity—sole post May 4 reposting a 2023 critique of US decline—aligns with sparse output since late March (roughly 2/week), as the account curates Ali Khamenei's archival statements amid regime transition and war. Ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, highlighted by Mojtaba's April 30 announcement of new management frameworks, sustain mid-range pricing via potential propaganda surge; de-escalation or leadership health rumors could favor under 20 or <5 bins, while military escalations might push toward 50+.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$121End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir post volume for May 8-15 shows a tight cluster around 25-44 posts, with 40-44 edging at 27% amid historical weekly averages near 30, tempered by post-martyrdom slowdowns under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent activity—sole post May 4 reposting a 2023 critique of US decline—aligns with sparse output since late March (roughly 2/week), as the account curates Ali Khamenei's archival statements amid regime transition and war. Ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, highlighted by Mojtaba's April 30 announcement of new management frameworks, sustain mid-range pricing via potential propaganda surge; de-escalation or leadership health rumors could favor under 20 or <5 bins, while military escalations might push toward 50+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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