Delcy Rodríguez 69%
Vladimir Padrino López 41%
Dan Caine 41%
Frank Donovan 41%
Delcy Rodríguez
69%
Vladimir Padrino López
41%
Dan Caine
41%
Frank Donovan
41%
Jorge Rodríguez
41%
Dinorah Figuera
41%
Evan Pettus
41%
Richard Grenell
41%
Edmundo González
24%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
21%
No Head of State
21%
María Corina Machado
19%
Nicolás Maduro
16%
Marco Rubio
15%
Donald Trump
14%
Pete Hegseth
12%
Delcy Rodríguez 69%
Vladimir Padrino López 41%
Dan Caine 41%
Frank Donovan 41%
Delcy Rodríguez
69%
Vladimir Padrino López
41%
Dan Caine
41%
Frank Donovan
41%
Jorge Rodríguez
41%
Dinorah Figuera
41%
Evan Pettus
41%
Richard Grenell
41%
Edmundo González
24%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
21%
No Head of State
21%
María Corina Machado
19%
Nicolás Maduro
16%
Marco Rubio
15%
Donald Trump
14%
Pete Hegseth
12%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...



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