Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 60-79 posts (26.5%) and under 20 (26.0%), driven by uncertainty in President Zelenskyy’s X posting patterns amid volatile Ukraine-Russia conflict dynamics. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy’s May 1 response to Putin’s Victory Day ceasefire proposal on May 9 and announcements of expanded Ukrainian strikes like sea drone hits on Russian tankers, signal potential posting spikes from daily addresses and real-time updates during escalation or diplomacy. Historical rates of 8-12 posts per day in active weeks keep higher bins viable, but lulls from troop reforms or negotiations could suppress volume. Victory Day events and any truce signals through May 15 will likely determine separation, with military actions favoring 60+ outcomes and de-escalation tilting lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?
Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?
80-99 48%
60-79 45%
180-199 40%
100-119 24%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
<20
2%
20-39
2%
40-59
28%
60-79
35%
80-99
37%
100-119
24%
120-139
23%
140-159
24%
160-179
22%
180-199
40%
200+
4%
80-99 48%
60-79 45%
180-199 40%
100-119 24%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
<20
$181 Vol.
2%
20-39
$21 Vol.
2%
40-59
$10 Vol.
28%
60-79
$6 Vol.
35%
80-99
$6 Vol.
37%
100-119
$0 Vol.
24%
120-139
$0 Vol.
23%
140-159
$0 Vol.
24%
160-179
$0 Vol.
22%
180-199
$51 Vol.
40%
200+
$51 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 60-79 posts (26.5%) and under 20 (26.0%), driven by uncertainty in President Zelenskyy’s X posting patterns amid volatile Ukraine-Russia conflict dynamics. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy’s May 1 response to Putin’s Victory Day ceasefire proposal on May 9 and announcements of expanded Ukrainian strikes like sea drone hits on Russian tankers, signal potential posting spikes from daily addresses and real-time updates during escalation or diplomacy. Historical rates of 8-12 posts per day in active weeks keep higher bins viable, but lulls from troop reforms or negotiations could suppress volume. Victory Day events and any truce signals through May 15 will likely determine separation, with military actions favoring 60+ outcomes and de-escalation tilting lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$326End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 60-79 posts (26.5%) and under 20 (26.0%), driven by uncertainty in President Zelenskyy’s X posting patterns amid volatile Ukraine-Russia conflict dynamics. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy’s May 1 response to Putin’s Victory Day ceasefire proposal on May 9 and announcements of expanded Ukrainian strikes like sea drone hits on Russian tankers, signal potential posting spikes from daily addresses and real-time updates during escalation or diplomacy. Historical rates of 8-12 posts per day in active weeks keep higher bins viable, but lulls from troop reforms or negotiations could suppress volume. Victory Day events and any truce signals through May 15 will likely determine separation, with military actions favoring 60+ outcomes and de-escalation tilting lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$326End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 60-79 posts (26.5%) and under 20 (26.0%), driven by uncertainty in President Zelenskyy’s X posting patterns amid volatile Ukraine-Russia conflict dynamics. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy’s May 1 response to Putin’s Victory Day ceasefire proposal on May 9 and announcements of expanded Ukrainian strikes like sea drone hits on Russian tankers, signal potential posting spikes from daily addresses and real-time updates during escalation or diplomacy. Historical rates of 8-12 posts per day in active weeks keep higher bins viable, but lulls from troop reforms or negotiations could suppress volume. Victory Day events and any truce signals through May 15 will likely determine separation, with military actions favoring 60+ outcomes and de-escalation tilting lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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