President Donald Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day in April 2026 with a total of 565 amid frequent late-night and early-morning bursts, anchors trader consensus for his May 8-15 output. Recent reporting on these nocturnal habits underscores his direct communication style, bypassing traditional media to address policy updates, media critiques, and political developments. Absent major scheduled events like summits or hearings in the coming week, bettors weigh historical consistency from his second term—similar to 2025 averages—against potential spikes from breaking news, administration announcements, or international tensions. No significant shifts in posting patterns have emerged in the past 30 days, maintaining steady expectations around 120-140 weekly posts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated100-119 31%
140-159 27%
120-139 26%
60-79 26%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
25%
60-79
26%
80-99
25%
100-119
31%
120-139
26%
140-159
27%
160-179
25%
180-199
24%
200+
26%
100-119 31%
140-159 27%
120-139 26%
60-79 26%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
<20
$2,221 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$15 Vol.
1%
40-59
$15 Vol.
25%
60-79
$0 Vol.
26%
80-99
$0 Vol.
25%
100-119
$0 Vol.
31%
120-139
$0 Vol.
26%
140-159
$0 Vol.
27%
160-179
$0 Vol.
25%
180-199
$0 Vol.
24%
200+
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day in April 2026 with a total of 565 amid frequent late-night and early-morning bursts, anchors trader consensus for his May 8-15 output. Recent reporting on these nocturnal habits underscores his direct communication style, bypassing traditional media to address policy updates, media critiques, and political developments. Absent major scheduled events like summits or hearings in the coming week, bettors weigh historical consistency from his second term—similar to 2025 averages—against potential spikes from breaking news, administration announcements, or international tensions. No significant shifts in posting patterns have emerged in the past 30 days, maintaining steady expectations around 120-140 weekly posts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,251End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day in April 2026 with a total of 565 amid frequent late-night and early-morning bursts, anchors trader consensus for his May 8-15 output. Recent reporting on these nocturnal habits underscores his direct communication style, bypassing traditional media to address policy updates, media critiques, and political developments. Absent major scheduled events like summits or hearings in the coming week, bettors weigh historical consistency from his second term—similar to 2025 averages—against potential spikes from breaking news, administration announcements, or international tensions. No significant shifts in posting patterns have emerged in the past 30 days, maintaining steady expectations around 120-140 weekly posts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,251End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's prolific Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day in April 2026 with a total of 565 amid frequent late-night and early-morning bursts, anchors trader consensus for his May 8-15 output. Recent reporting on these nocturnal habits underscores his direct communication style, bypassing traditional media to address policy updates, media critiques, and political developments. Absent major scheduled events like summits or hearings in the coming week, bettors weigh historical consistency from his second term—similar to 2025 averages—against potential spikes from breaking news, administration announcements, or international tensions. No significant shifts in posting patterns have emerged in the past 30 days, maintaining steady expectations around 120-140 weekly posts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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