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icon for Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

icon for Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

50% chance
Polymarket
NEW
50% chance
Polymarket
NEW
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's parliament faces a no-confidence vote on May 5 against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's Liberal-led pro-European minority government, triggered by the Social Democrats' (PSD) abrupt exit from the ruling coalition on April 23 after resigning seven ministers over fiscal reform disputes. PSD has partnered with hard-right AUR, commanding about 220 seats in the 464-seat chamber—short of the 233 required to pass—but AUR's leader claims confidence in defections, while some signatories reportedly wavering. President Nicușor Dan urges stability amid leu depreciation and economic pressures, noting Romania's Western alignment persists regardless. The razor-thin parliamentary arithmetic and potential for last-minute shifts define trader focus ahead of this pivotal procedural vote.

A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's parliament faces a no-confidence vote on May 5 against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's Liberal-led pro-European minority government, triggered by the Social Democrats' (PSD) abrupt exit from the ruling coalition on April 23 after resigning seven ministers over fiscal reform disputes. PSD has partnered with hard-right AUR, commanding about 220 seats in the 464-seat chamber—short of the 233 required to pass—but AUR's leader claims confidence in defections, while some signatories reportedly wavering. President Nicușor Dan urges stability amid leu depreciation and economic pressures, noting Romania's Western alignment persists regardless. The razor-thin parliamentary arithmetic and potential for last-minute shifts define trader focus ahead of this pivotal procedural vote.

A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 50% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 50¢, the market collectively assigns a 50% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" is 50% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 50% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.