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icon for NYC Mayor # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

20-39 91%

140-159 21%

200+ 21%

120-139 20%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39 91%

140-159 21%

200+ 21%

120-139 20%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$1 Vol.

12%

20-39

$44 Vol.

86%

40-59

$1 Vol.

10%

60-79

$1 Vol.

9%

80-99

$1 Vol.

9%

100-119

$5 Vol.

18%

120-139

$55 Vol.

20%

140-159

$104 Vol.

21%

160-179

$55 Vol.

20%

180-199

$55 Vol.

4%

200+

$55 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's X posts from @NYCMayor during May 8-15 shows extreme tightness, with under 20 posts (26.5%) edging out 80-99, 100-119, 140-159, and 180-199 ranges (all at 26%), reflecting high uncertainty in his posting cadence four months into his January 2026 inauguration. Mamdani's recent activity—multiple daily updates on May 4 alone, including broadband expansion in the Bronx and Jewish American Heritage Month events at the Jewish Children’s Museum—demonstrates consistent engagement on policy announcements and community outreach, yet weekly totals have varied across prior periods like April 24-May 1. This race stays bunched amid no major catalysts; separation could arise from scheduled observances like Mother's Day (May 11), City Hall press events, or breaking developments in housing, public safety, or budget deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$378
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's X posts from @NYCMayor during May 8-15 shows extreme tightness, with under 20 posts (26.5%) edging out 80-99, 100-119, 140-159, and 180-199 ranges (all at 26%), reflecting high uncertainty in his posting cadence four months into his January 2026 inauguration. Mamdani's recent activity—multiple daily updates on May 4 alone, including broadband expansion in the Bronx and Jewish American Heritage Month events at the Jewish Children’s Museum—demonstrates consistent engagement on policy announcements and community outreach, yet weekly totals have varied across prior periods like April 24-May 1. This race stays bunched amid no major catalysts; separation could arise from scheduled observances like Mother's Day (May 11), City Hall press events, or breaking developments in housing, public safety, or budget deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$378
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 86%, followed by "<20" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NYC Mayor # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" is "20-39" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.