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Politics·Trump

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

icon for What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?
Politics·Trump

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

NEW
May 5, 2026
Polymarket

$1,487 Vol.

Polymarket

Trump 3+ times

$270 Vol.

82%

Manufacturing

$359 Vol.

85%

Subsidize

$100 Vol.

44%

Iowa

$117 Vol.

91%

Family

$0 Vol.

44%

Transparency

$0 Vol.

40%

Abortion

$0 Vol.

36%

Bipartisan

$0 Vol.

18%

Job

$22 Vol.

76%

China

$1 Vol.

49%

Competitor

$0 Vol.

44%

Tariff

$141 Vol.

49%

Racism

$0 Vol.

16%

Fight

$12 Vol.

72%

Worker

$45 Vol.

72%

Ukraine

$0 Vol.

26%

Community

$69 Vol.

69%

Incumbent

$0 Vol.

27%

Consensus

$0 Vol.

27%

Bilateral

$0 Vol.

26%

-No Qualifying Event-

$352 Vol.

2%

JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Vice President JD Vance is scheduled to deliver remarks on May 5, 2026, at Ex-Guard Industries in Des Moines, Iowa, alongside Rep. Zach Nunn (R-IA) in a campaign stop spotlighting manufacturing advancements ahead of competitive 2026 midterms in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District. The White House confirmed the event on May 1 following cancellation of Vance's planned Turning Point USA appearance at Iowa State University last week due to low turnout concerns. Traders should focus on potential messaging around economic policy, administration achievements, and Nunn endorsement, with resolution hinging on official video or transcripts of the speech. No major shifts reported in the past 48 hours, keeping emphasis on Vance's standard midterm rally themes.

JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,487
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Vice President JD Vance is scheduled to deliver remarks on May 5, 2026, at Ex-Guard Industries in Des Moines, Iowa, alongside Rep. Zach Nunn (R-IA) in a campaign stop spotlighting manufacturing advancements ahead of competitive 2026 midterms in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District. The White House confirmed the event on May 1 following cancellation of Vance's planned Turning Point USA appearance at Iowa State University last week due to low turnout concerns. Traders should focus on potential messaging around economic policy, administration achievements, and Nunn endorsement, with resolution hinging on official video or transcripts of the speech. No major shifts reported in the past 48 hours, keeping emphasis on Vance's standard midterm rally themes.

JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,487
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
JD Vance is scheduled to visit Des Moines on May 5, 2026 (https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about JD Vance's visit to Des Moines scheduled for May 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iowa" at 91%, followed by "Manufacturing" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?" is "Iowa" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Manufacturing" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.