Negotiations between the United States and Iran on nuclear restrictions remain stalled as of early June 2026, with persistent disagreements over verifiable limits on uranium enrichment, stockpile reductions, and monitoring measures despite mediation through Oman. Recent reports indicate tentative progress on handing over highly enriched uranium stockpiles and extending ceasefires, yet Iran has offered only short-term suspensions while rejecting longer-term halts demanded by Washington. The compressed timeline to July 31, combined with ongoing gaps on enrichment rights and IAEA access, underpins trader consensus that no binding agreement to end enrichment will materialize by the deadline. Structural barriers, including Iran's insistence on retaining some enrichment capacity and verification disputes, continue to shape the current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran on nuclear restrictions remain stalled as of early June 2026, with persistent disagreements over verifiable limits on uranium enrichment, stockpile reductions, and monitoring measures despite mediation through Oman. Recent reports indicate tentative progress on handing over highly enriched uranium stockpiles and extending ceasefires, yet Iran has offered only short-term suspensions while rejecting longer-term halts demanded by Washington. The compressed timeline to July 31, combined with ongoing gaps on enrichment rights and IAEA access, underpins trader consensus that no binding agreement to end enrichment will materialize by the deadline. Structural barriers, including Iran's insistence on retaining some enrichment capacity and verification disputes, continue to shape the current positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$9,859End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran on nuclear restrictions remain stalled as of early June 2026, with persistent disagreements over verifiable limits on uranium enrichment, stockpile reductions, and monitoring measures despite mediation through Oman. Recent reports indicate tentative progress on handing over highly enriched uranium stockpiles and extending ceasefires, yet Iran has offered only short-term suspensions while rejecting longer-term halts demanded by Washington. The compressed timeline to July 31, combined with ongoing gaps on enrichment rights and IAEA access, underpins trader consensus that no binding agreement to end enrichment will materialize by the deadline. Structural barriers, including Iran's insistence on retaining some enrichment capacity and verification disputes, continue to shape the current positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$9,913End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between the United States and Iran on nuclear restrictions remain stalled as of early June 2026, with persistent disagreements over verifiable limits on uranium enrichment, stockpile reductions, and monitoring measures despite mediation through Oman. Recent reports indicate tentative progress on handing over highly enriched uranium stockpiles and extending ceasefires, yet Iran has offered only short-term suspensions while rejecting longer-term halts demanded by Washington. The compressed timeline to July 31, combined with ongoing gaps on enrichment rights and IAEA access, underpins trader consensus that no binding agreement to end enrichment will materialize by the deadline. Structural barriers, including Iran's insistence on retaining some enrichment capacity and verification disputes, continue to shape the current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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