Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated by Oman, produced a late-May 2026 memorandum extending the April ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching a 60-day period for nuclear discussions. Core gaps persist over verifiable limits on uranium enrichment, disposal of Iran’s highly enriched stockpile, and the timing of sanctions relief, with President Trump rejecting recent Iranian proposals and seeking additional changes. These unresolved technical and verification issues, combined with the short window to July 31, underpin the trader consensus pricing a slim majority against an official nuclear agreement by the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
$129,086 Vol.
$129,086 Vol.
31 jul 2026
$129,086 Vol.
$129,086 Vol.
31 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated by Oman, produced a late-May 2026 memorandum extending the April ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching a 60-day period for nuclear discussions. Core gaps persist over verifiable limits on uranium enrichment, disposal of Iran’s highly enriched stockpile, and the timing of sanctions relief, with President Trump rejecting recent Iranian proposals and seeking additional changes. These unresolved technical and verification issues, combined with the short window to July 31, underpin the trader consensus pricing a slim majority against an official nuclear agreement by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$129,086Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated by Oman, produced a late-May 2026 memorandum extending the April ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching a 60-day period for nuclear discussions. Core gaps persist over verifiable limits on uranium enrichment, disposal of Iran’s highly enriched stockpile, and the timing of sanctions relief, with President Trump rejecting recent Iranian proposals and seeking additional changes. These unresolved technical and verification issues, combined with the short window to July 31, underpin the trader consensus pricing a slim majority against an official nuclear agreement by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$129,623Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated by Oman, produced a late-May 2026 memorandum extending the April ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and launching a 60-day period for nuclear discussions. Core gaps persist over verifiable limits on uranium enrichment, disposal of Iran’s highly enriched stockpile, and the timing of sanctions relief, with President Trump rejecting recent Iranian proposals and seeking additional changes. These unresolved technical and verification issues, combined with the short window to July 31, underpin the trader consensus pricing a slim majority against an official nuclear agreement by the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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