Iran and Oman have held deputy foreign minister talks and discussed protocols for monitoring transit, joint management, or toll systems in the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026, yet no binding agreement has emerged. Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including Washington's explicit rejection of Iranian or joint oversight and threats against any toll arrangements, have stalled progress. Iranian state media references to draft frameworks involving Oman remain unconfirmed and contingent on broader unresolved issues such as sanctions and blockades. With the June 15 deadline approaching amid continued shipping disruptions and no recent diplomatic breakthroughs, traders assess completion as highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
$14,914 Vol.
$14,914 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
$14,914 Vol.
$14,914 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Iran and Oman have held deputy foreign minister talks and discussed protocols for monitoring transit, joint management, or toll systems in the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026, yet no binding agreement has emerged. Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including Washington's explicit rejection of Iranian or joint oversight and threats against any toll arrangements, have stalled progress. Iranian state media references to draft frameworks involving Oman remain unconfirmed and contingent on broader unresolved issues such as sanctions and blockades. With the June 15 deadline approaching amid continued shipping disruptions and no recent diplomatic breakthroughs, traders assess completion as highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$14,914End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Iran and Oman have held deputy foreign minister talks and discussed protocols for monitoring transit, joint management, or toll systems in the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026, yet no binding agreement has emerged. Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including Washington's explicit rejection of Iranian or joint oversight and threats against any toll arrangements, have stalled progress. Iranian state media references to draft frameworks involving Oman remain unconfirmed and contingent on broader unresolved issues such as sanctions and blockades. With the June 15 deadline approaching amid continued shipping disruptions and no recent diplomatic breakthroughs, traders assess completion as highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$14,914End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran and Oman have held deputy foreign minister talks and discussed protocols for monitoring transit, joint management, or toll systems in the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026, yet no binding agreement has emerged. Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including Washington's explicit rejection of Iranian or joint oversight and threats against any toll arrangements, have stalled progress. Iranian state media references to draft frameworks involving Oman remain unconfirmed and contingent on broader unresolved issues such as sanctions and blockades. With the June 15 deadline approaching amid continued shipping disruptions and no recent diplomatic breakthroughs, traders assess completion as highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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