Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan, focus on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and sanctions relief. Iran suspended direct talks on June 1 citing Israeli operations in Lebanon, though US officials report continued channels and framework discussions. Highest-level engagement since 1979 occurred in April between Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with no confirmed high-level bilateral meetings since. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings by June 30 reflect these stalled direct contacts, unresolved enrichment and security demands, and mediation dynamics that could shift with any breakthrough or escalation before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$16,407 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Steve Witkoff
30%
Jared Kushner
24%
J.D. Vance
14%
Marco Rubio
9%
Donald Trump
6%
$16,407 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
$3,566 Vol.
30%
Jared Kushner
$2,198 Vol.
24%
J.D. Vance
$2,949 Vol.
14%
Marco Rubio
$4,168 Vol.
9%
Donald Trump
$3,526 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan, focus on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and sanctions relief. Iran suspended direct talks on June 1 citing Israeli operations in Lebanon, though US officials report continued channels and framework discussions. Highest-level engagement since 1979 occurred in April between Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with no confirmed high-level bilateral meetings since. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings by June 30 reflect these stalled direct contacts, unresolved enrichment and security demands, and mediation dynamics that could shift with any breakthrough or escalation before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volume
$16,407End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan, focus on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and sanctions relief. Iran suspended direct talks on June 1 citing Israeli operations in Lebanon, though US officials report continued channels and framework discussions. Highest-level engagement since 1979 occurred in April between Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with no confirmed high-level bilateral meetings since. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings by June 30 reflect these stalled direct contacts, unresolved enrichment and security demands, and mediation dynamics that could shift with any breakthrough or escalation before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,407End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan, focus on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and sanctions relief. Iran suspended direct talks on June 1 citing Israeli operations in Lebanon, though US officials report continued channels and framework discussions. Highest-level engagement since 1979 occurred in April between Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with no confirmed high-level bilateral meetings since. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings by June 30 reflect these stalled direct contacts, unresolved enrichment and security demands, and mediation dynamics that could shift with any breakthrough or escalation before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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