Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.9% as the April 30 deadline passes without any public Iranian commitment to end uranium enrichment, amid stalled US-Iran indirect nuclear talks. Iran's April 28 proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz first—postponing nuclear concessions—drew US rejection, with Washington insisting on verifiable halts to highly enriched uranium stockpiles and IAEA access before sanctions relief. Tehran remains firm on retaining enrichment rights, rejecting a 20-year ban for a maximum five-year suspension, echoing historical JCPOA tensions. While a last-minute official announcement could shift outcomes, significant barriers like mutual distrust and verification disputes make this improbable, cementing trader confidence in non-resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$1,842,197 Vol.
$1,842,197 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$1,842,197 Vol.
$1,842,197 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.9% as the April 30 deadline passes without any public Iranian commitment to end uranium enrichment, amid stalled US-Iran indirect nuclear talks. Iran's April 28 proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz first—postponing nuclear concessions—drew US rejection, with Washington insisting on verifiable halts to highly enriched uranium stockpiles and IAEA access before sanctions relief. Tehran remains firm on retaining enrichment rights, rejecting a 20-year ban for a maximum five-year suspension, echoing historical JCPOA tensions. While a last-minute official announcement could shift outcomes, significant barriers like mutual distrust and verification disputes make this improbable, cementing trader confidence in non-resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,842,197End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.9% as the April 30 deadline passes without any public Iranian commitment to end uranium enrichment, amid stalled US-Iran indirect nuclear talks. Iran's April 28 proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz first—postponing nuclear concessions—drew US rejection, with Washington insisting on verifiable halts to highly enriched uranium stockpiles and IAEA access before sanctions relief. Tehran remains firm on retaining enrichment rights, rejecting a 20-year ban for a maximum five-year suspension, echoing historical JCPOA tensions. While a last-minute official announcement could shift outcomes, significant barriers like mutual distrust and verification disputes make this improbable, cementing trader confidence in non-resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,842,224End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.9% as the April 30 deadline passes without any public Iranian commitment to end uranium enrichment, amid stalled US-Iran indirect nuclear talks. Iran's April 28 proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz first—postponing nuclear concessions—drew US rejection, with Washington insisting on verifiable halts to highly enriched uranium stockpiles and IAEA access before sanctions relief. Tehran remains firm on retaining enrichment rights, rejecting a 20-year ban for a maximum five-year suspension, echoing historical JCPOA tensions. While a last-minute official announcement could shift outcomes, significant barriers like mutual distrust and verification disputes make this improbable, cementing trader confidence in non-resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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