The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast pegs Taipei's May 7 high at 32°C under mostly clear skies, following today's cooler 22°C amid cloudy showers and Wednesday's 28°C partly cloudy conditions, reflecting a high-pressure ridge suppressing moisture ahead of the Mei-yu season. This drives trader consensus, with market-implied odds favoring 31°C (41%) slightly over clustered 27–33°C outcomes (35.5% each), capturing short-range model variability from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid urban heat effects and potential afternoon cloud buildup. Historical May maxima average 29.7°C, making extremes unlikely; watch CWA's daily updates for refinements as resolution hinges on Songshan station's peak reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 7?
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
33°C 12%
$19,645 Vol.
$19,645 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
31%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
33°C 12%
$19,645 Vol.
$19,645 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
31%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast pegs Taipei's May 7 high at 32°C under mostly clear skies, following today's cooler 22°C amid cloudy showers and Wednesday's 28°C partly cloudy conditions, reflecting a high-pressure ridge suppressing moisture ahead of the Mei-yu season. This drives trader consensus, with market-implied odds favoring 31°C (41%) slightly over clustered 27–33°C outcomes (35.5% each), capturing short-range model variability from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid urban heat effects and potential afternoon cloud buildup. Historical May maxima average 29.7°C, making extremes unlikely; watch CWA's daily updates for refinements as resolution hinges on Songshan station's peak reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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