Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a consensus peak temperature near 28°C for Guangzhou on May 2, driven by moderate rain showers and associated cloud cover that limit solar heating despite typical early-May subtropical warming trends. Trader sentiment reflects this tight clustering around 27–29°C, with genuine uncertainty stemming from variable precipitation timing, potential breaks in cloudiness allowing brief spikes to 29–30°C, and light southerly winds steering moisture from the South China Sea. Historical data shows Baiyun Airport highs averaging 28°C in early May, but daily model updates from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers tomorrow could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
29°C 36%
28°C 29%
27°C 17%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
29%
29°C
36%
30°C
12%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
28°C 29%
27°C 17%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 2, 2026
23°C or below
$731 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$367 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
3%
27°C
$9 Vol.
17%
28°C
$27 Vol.
29%
29°C
$20 Vol.
36%
30°C
$38 Vol.
12%
31°C
$34 Vol.
10%
32°C
$30 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$173 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a consensus peak temperature near 28°C for Guangzhou on May 2, driven by moderate rain showers and associated cloud cover that limit solar heating despite typical early-May subtropical warming trends. Trader sentiment reflects this tight clustering around 27–29°C, with genuine uncertainty stemming from variable precipitation timing, potential breaks in cloudiness allowing brief spikes to 29–30°C, and light southerly winds steering moisture from the South China Sea. Historical data shows Baiyun Airport highs averaging 28°C in early May, but daily model updates from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers tomorrow could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$1,867End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a consensus peak temperature near 28°C for Guangzhou on May 2, driven by moderate rain showers and associated cloud cover that limit solar heating despite typical early-May subtropical warming trends. Trader sentiment reflects this tight clustering around 27–29°C, with genuine uncertainty stemming from variable precipitation timing, potential breaks in cloudiness allowing brief spikes to 29–30°C, and light southerly winds steering moisture from the South China Sea. Historical data shows Baiyun Airport highs averaging 28°C in early May, but daily model updates from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers tomorrow could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,867End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a consensus peak temperature near 28°C for Guangzhou on May 2, driven by moderate rain showers and associated cloud cover that limit solar heating despite typical early-May subtropical warming trends. Trader sentiment reflects this tight clustering around 27–29°C, with genuine uncertainty stemming from variable precipitation timing, potential breaks in cloudiness allowing brief spikes to 29–30°C, and light southerly winds steering moisture from the South China Sea. Historical data shows Baiyun Airport highs averaging 28°C in early May, but daily model updates from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers tomorrow could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions