Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (29.5%) as Busan's highest temperature on May 2 at Gimhae International Airport, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance forecasting a maximum around 21-24°C under mostly cloudy skies with just 10% precipitation chance. Differentiating factors include ensemble discrepancies among GFS and ECMWF models, where slight variations in southerly wind advection and cloud cover could boost insolation for 25°C peaks or enhance sea breeze cooling toward 24°C. Recent late-April highs near 21°C signal spring warming above historical May averages of 22°C, but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists ahead of KMA daily updates on May 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 2?
24°C 33%
25°C 30%
23°C 17%
26°C 13%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
33%
25°C
30%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
9%
24°C 33%
25°C 30%
23°C 17%
26°C 13%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
33%
25°C
30%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (29.5%) as Busan's highest temperature on May 2 at Gimhae International Airport, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance forecasting a maximum around 21-24°C under mostly cloudy skies with just 10% precipitation chance. Differentiating factors include ensemble discrepancies among GFS and ECMWF models, where slight variations in southerly wind advection and cloud cover could boost insolation for 25°C peaks or enhance sea breeze cooling toward 24°C. Recent late-April highs near 21°C signal spring warming above historical May averages of 22°C, but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists ahead of KMA daily updates on May 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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