**Hong Kong Observatory rain gauge data records 160.4 mm of total precipitation through April 30, 2026, firmly anchoring trader consensus at 98.4% for the 160-170 mm outcome as the month concludes.** This total reflects a dry first half—79.6 mm by April 20—followed by heavy thundery showers in the final days, prompting amber rainstorm warnings on April 29 and 17 amid intense upper-air disturbances and squally conditions. The late-month rainfall surge, linked to troughs of low pressure over southern China, elevated the cumulative figure into this narrow range, surpassing prorated averages earlier projected around 100 mm midway. With final data pending official monthly summary, rare revisions from gauge recalibrations or supplemental station averages could theoretically shift totals by a few millimeters, though historical precedents show such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2% variance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
160-170mm 98.2%
150-160mm 1.7%
<130mm <1%
130-140mm <1%
$203,447 Vol.
$203,447 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
1%
130-140mm
1%
140-150mm
<1%
150-160mm
2%
160-170mm
98%
190-200mm
<1%
180-190
<1%
190mm+
<1%
160-170mm 98.2%
150-160mm 1.7%
<130mm <1%
130-140mm <1%
$203,447 Vol.
$203,447 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
$51,762 Vol.
1%
130-140mm
$27,918 Vol.
1%
140-150mm
$30,801 Vol.
<1%
150-160mm
$47,749 Vol.
2%
160-170mm
$21,209 Vol.
98%
190-200mm
$6,360 Vol.
<1%
180-190
$6,624 Vol.
<1%
190mm+
$12,562 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Hong Kong Observatory rain gauge data records 160.4 mm of total precipitation through April 30, 2026, firmly anchoring trader consensus at 98.4% for the 160-170 mm outcome as the month concludes.** This total reflects a dry first half—79.6 mm by April 20—followed by heavy thundery showers in the final days, prompting amber rainstorm warnings on April 29 and 17 amid intense upper-air disturbances and squally conditions. The late-month rainfall surge, linked to troughs of low pressure over southern China, elevated the cumulative figure into this narrow range, surpassing prorated averages earlier projected around 100 mm midway. With final data pending official monthly summary, rare revisions from gauge recalibrations or supplemental station averages could theoretically shift totals by a few millimeters, though historical precedents show such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2% variance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$203,447End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Hong Kong Observatory rain gauge data records 160.4 mm of total precipitation through April 30, 2026, firmly anchoring trader consensus at 98.4% for the 160-170 mm outcome as the month concludes.** This total reflects a dry first half—79.6 mm by April 20—followed by heavy thundery showers in the final days, prompting amber rainstorm warnings on April 29 and 17 amid intense upper-air disturbances and squally conditions. The late-month rainfall surge, linked to troughs of low pressure over southern China, elevated the cumulative figure into this narrow range, surpassing prorated averages earlier projected around 100 mm midway. With final data pending official monthly summary, rare revisions from gauge recalibrations or supplemental station averages could theoretically shift totals by a few millimeters, though historical precedents show such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2% variance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$203,447End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Hong Kong Observatory rain gauge data records 160.4 mm of total precipitation through April 30, 2026, firmly anchoring trader consensus at 98.4% for the 160-170 mm outcome as the month concludes.** This total reflects a dry first half—79.6 mm by April 20—followed by heavy thundery showers in the final days, prompting amber rainstorm warnings on April 29 and 17 amid intense upper-air disturbances and squally conditions. The late-month rainfall surge, linked to troughs of low pressure over southern China, elevated the cumulative figure into this narrow range, surpassing prorated averages earlier projected around 100 mm midway. With final data pending official monthly summary, rare revisions from gauge recalibrations or supplemental station averages could theoretically shift totals by a few millimeters, though historical precedents show such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2% variance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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