NEA's latest fortnightly outlook and inter-monsoon update project daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C for late April into early May 2026, driven by strong solar heating under light, variable winds following the Northeast Monsoon's early April end; this underpins trader consensus favoring 32°C (39.5%) and 33°C (33.5%) as leading outcomes. The close split reflects uncertainty in afternoon thundery shower timing—early onset with cloud cover could cap peaks near May's climatological average high of 32.3°C at Changi Airport station, while delayed showers allow stronger heating toward 34°C (13.2%). April's heat, with 35.4°C recorded on the 5th and exceedances over 34°C on 12 days, sets a warm baseline; watch NEA's daily forecast updates for refined guidance amid inherent short-range variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 1?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 1?
32°C 40%
33°C 36%
34°C 12.5%
31°C 11%
$43,739 Vol.
$43,739 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
40%
33°C
36%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 40%
33°C 36%
34°C 12.5%
31°C 11%
$43,739 Vol.
$43,739 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
40%
33°C
36%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...NEA's latest fortnightly outlook and inter-monsoon update project daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C for late April into early May 2026, driven by strong solar heating under light, variable winds following the Northeast Monsoon's early April end; this underpins trader consensus favoring 32°C (39.5%) and 33°C (33.5%) as leading outcomes. The close split reflects uncertainty in afternoon thundery shower timing—early onset with cloud cover could cap peaks near May's climatological average high of 32.3°C at Changi Airport station, while delayed showers allow stronger heating toward 34°C (13.2%). April's heat, with 35.4°C recorded on the 5th and exceedances over 34°C on 12 days, sets a warm baseline; watch NEA's daily forecast updates for refined guidance amid inherent short-range variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions