The India Meteorological Department (IMD) latest forecasts project a maximum temperature of around 33°C in Lucknow on May 2 under mainly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward 36°C or below at a 66.5% implied probability, with 37°C at 23.5%. This positioning stems from a western disturbance that delivered rainfall and cloud cover starting April 28, abruptly ending a severe heatwave where Lucknow peaked at 43°C earlier in the week and recorded 39.3°C (-0.2°C departure) on April 29. These cooler conditions reflect suppressed convective activity and reduced solar heating, diverging from May climatological averages near 40°C. Ensemble model runs show low risk of rapid rebound, though daily IMD bulletins could refine odds amid pre-monsoon variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 2?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 2?
36°C or below 66%
37°C 25%
38°C 8%
39°C 1.1%
NEW
NEW
May 2, 2026
36°C or below
66%
37°C
25%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
36°C or below 66%
37°C 25%
38°C 8%
39°C 1.1%
NEW
NEW
May 2, 2026
36°C or below
$825 Vol.
66%
37°C
$569 Vol.
25%
38°C
$1,046 Vol.
8%
39°C
$1,130 Vol.
1%
40°C
$1,474 Vol.
1%
41°C
$995 Vol.
1%
42°C
$577 Vol.
1%
43°C
$477 Vol.
1%
44°C
$964 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$784 Vol.
<1%
46°C or higher
$656 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department (IMD) latest forecasts project a maximum temperature of around 33°C in Lucknow on May 2 under mainly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward 36°C or below at a 66.5% implied probability, with 37°C at 23.5%. This positioning stems from a western disturbance that delivered rainfall and cloud cover starting April 28, abruptly ending a severe heatwave where Lucknow peaked at 43°C earlier in the week and recorded 39.3°C (-0.2°C departure) on April 29. These cooler conditions reflect suppressed convective activity and reduced solar heating, diverging from May climatological averages near 40°C. Ensemble model runs show low risk of rapid rebound, though daily IMD bulletins could refine odds amid pre-monsoon variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,497End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department (IMD) latest forecasts project a maximum temperature of around 33°C in Lucknow on May 2 under mainly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward 36°C or below at a 66.5% implied probability, with 37°C at 23.5%. This positioning stems from a western disturbance that delivered rainfall and cloud cover starting April 28, abruptly ending a severe heatwave where Lucknow peaked at 43°C earlier in the week and recorded 39.3°C (-0.2°C departure) on April 29. These cooler conditions reflect suppressed convective activity and reduced solar heating, diverging from May climatological averages near 40°C. Ensemble model runs show low risk of rapid rebound, though daily IMD bulletins could refine odds amid pre-monsoon variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,497End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department (IMD) latest forecasts project a maximum temperature of around 33°C in Lucknow on May 2 under mainly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward 36°C or below at a 66.5% implied probability, with 37°C at 23.5%. This positioning stems from a western disturbance that delivered rainfall and cloud cover starting April 28, abruptly ending a severe heatwave where Lucknow peaked at 43°C earlier in the week and recorded 39.3°C (-0.2°C departure) on April 29. These cooler conditions reflect suppressed convective activity and reduced solar heating, diverging from May climatological averages near 40°C. Ensemble model runs show low risk of rapid rebound, though daily IMD bulletins could refine odds amid pre-monsoon variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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