Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the daytime high reached 19°C around midday, with temperatures stabilizing at that level through late afternoon amid clear skies and moderate westerly winds. Updated short-range forecast models project no further intensification, as incoming light rain and cooling air masses suppress potential spikes, aligning with seasonal norms after earlier April heatwaves peaked mid-month at record 29.4°C. This observational data drives the market's 100% implied probability on 19°C, reflecting trader consensus on KMA resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening warm surge or data revision, though probabilities remain negligible below 1% per current ensemble guidance. Final daily report expected shortly after midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 30?
$372,599 Vol.
$372,599 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
19°C
100%
20°C or higher
<1%
$372,599 Vol.
$372,599 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
19°C
$74,865 Vol.
100%
20°C or higher
$120,537 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the daytime high reached 19°C around midday, with temperatures stabilizing at that level through late afternoon amid clear skies and moderate westerly winds. Updated short-range forecast models project no further intensification, as incoming light rain and cooling air masses suppress potential spikes, aligning with seasonal norms after earlier April heatwaves peaked mid-month at record 29.4°C. This observational data drives the market's 100% implied probability on 19°C, reflecting trader consensus on KMA resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening warm surge or data revision, though probabilities remain negligible below 1% per current ensemble guidance. Final daily report expected shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Volume
$372,599End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the daytime high reached 19°C around midday, with temperatures stabilizing at that level through late afternoon amid clear skies and moderate westerly winds. Updated short-range forecast models project no further intensification, as incoming light rain and cooling air masses suppress potential spikes, aligning with seasonal norms after earlier April heatwaves peaked mid-month at record 29.4°C. This observational data drives the market's 100% implied probability on 19°C, reflecting trader consensus on KMA resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening warm surge or data revision, though probabilities remain negligible below 1% per current ensemble guidance. Final daily report expected shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$372,599End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the daytime high reached 19°C around midday, with temperatures stabilizing at that level through late afternoon amid clear skies and moderate westerly winds. Updated short-range forecast models project no further intensification, as incoming light rain and cooling air masses suppress potential spikes, aligning with seasonal norms after earlier April heatwaves peaked mid-month at record 29.4°C. This observational data drives the market's 100% implied probability on 19°C, reflecting trader consensus on KMA resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening warm surge or data revision, though probabilities remain negligible below 1% per current ensemble guidance. Final daily report expected shortly after midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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