Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to Jakarta reaching a highest temperature of 34°C today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) and supporting models like those from AccuWeather, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C amid partly cloudy skies and afternoon rain showers. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity—hallmarks of late April's transitional wet season—cap solar insolation and suppress further warming, with current observations already peaking near this threshold mid-afternoon. Historical April maxima average 32°C, aligning with analogs of similar moisture-laden conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset boosting insolation to 35°C+, though BMKG's rain warnings and model ensemble agreement make this unlikely; final resolution awaits official station data by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 30?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 30?
34°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$76,539 Vol.
$76,539 Vol.
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$76,539 Vol.
$76,539 Vol.
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to Jakarta reaching a highest temperature of 34°C today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) and supporting models like those from AccuWeather, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C amid partly cloudy skies and afternoon rain showers. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity—hallmarks of late April's transitional wet season—cap solar insolation and suppress further warming, with current observations already peaking near this threshold mid-afternoon. Historical April maxima average 32°C, aligning with analogs of similar moisture-laden conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset boosting insolation to 35°C+, though BMKG's rain warnings and model ensemble agreement make this unlikely; final resolution awaits official station data by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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