Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and overnight GFS/ECMWF model runs converging on New York City Central Park highs of 60-64°F today, with 60-61°F leading at 41% amid morning fog, light rain, and high humidity near 97% capping early boundary-layer warming. Persistent cloud cover through midday, east-to-northwest wind shifts around 6-9 mph, and slight shower chances before 11 a.m. differentiate outcomes: quicker clearing could push toward 62-63°F (15%), while prolonged overcast skies favor 58-59°F (32.5%). These closely matched implied probabilities highlight inherent forecast uncertainty from variable insolation and model spread, with afternoon observations key to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?
60-61°F 43%
58-59°F 28%
62-63°F 17%
56-57°F 6.5%
$106,501 Vol.
$106,501 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
43%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 43%
58-59°F 28%
62-63°F 17%
56-57°F 6.5%
$106,501 Vol.
$106,501 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
$23,674 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$15,549 Vol.
7%
58-59°F
$13,418 Vol.
28%
60-61°F
$10,295 Vol.
43%
62-63°F
$9,674 Vol.
17%
64-65°F
$9,317 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$10,776 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$7,489 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,345 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,726 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$4,366 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and overnight GFS/ECMWF model runs converging on New York City Central Park highs of 60-64°F today, with 60-61°F leading at 41% amid morning fog, light rain, and high humidity near 97% capping early boundary-layer warming. Persistent cloud cover through midday, east-to-northwest wind shifts around 6-9 mph, and slight shower chances before 11 a.m. differentiate outcomes: quicker clearing could push toward 62-63°F (15%), while prolonged overcast skies favor 58-59°F (32.5%). These closely matched implied probabilities highlight inherent forecast uncertainty from variable insolation and model spread, with afternoon observations key to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$106,501End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and overnight GFS/ECMWF model runs converging on New York City Central Park highs of 60-64°F today, with 60-61°F leading at 41% amid morning fog, light rain, and high humidity near 97% capping early boundary-layer warming. Persistent cloud cover through midday, east-to-northwest wind shifts around 6-9 mph, and slight shower chances before 11 a.m. differentiate outcomes: quicker clearing could push toward 62-63°F (15%), while prolonged overcast skies favor 58-59°F (32.5%). These closely matched implied probabilities highlight inherent forecast uncertainty from variable insolation and model spread, with afternoon observations key to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$106,501End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and overnight GFS/ECMWF model runs converging on New York City Central Park highs of 60-64°F today, with 60-61°F leading at 41% amid morning fog, light rain, and high humidity near 97% capping early boundary-layer warming. Persistent cloud cover through midday, east-to-northwest wind shifts around 6-9 mph, and slight shower chances before 11 a.m. differentiate outcomes: quicker clearing could push toward 62-63°F (15%), while prolonged overcast skies favor 58-59°F (32.5%). These closely matched implied probabilities highlight inherent forecast uncertainty from variable insolation and model spread, with afternoon observations key to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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