Recent thundery showers and cloud cover have driven unseasonably low temperatures in Lucknow, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) recording a May 4 maximum of 29°C—10.4°C below normal—amid 14.8 mm rainfall, suppressing daytime heating. IMD forecasts partly cloudy skies with further rain/thundershowers likely through May 7 across Uttar Pradesh, including Lucknow, where May 5 highs are expected around 31°C before a gradual 4-6°C rise, potentially reaching 36-38°C per extended range outlooks for central plains. Trader consensus favors ≤35°C at 36% implied probability, reflecting persistent atmospheric instability capping peaks below typical May norms of 39-42°C, though haze and clearing could enable rebound; monitor IMD's May 5 evening bulletin for updated model consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 7?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 7?
35°C or below 98.4%
36°C 1.3%
39°C <1%
37°C <1%
$25,684 Vol.
$25,684 Vol.
35°C or below
98%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
35°C or below 98.4%
36°C 1.3%
39°C <1%
37°C <1%
$25,684 Vol.
$25,684 Vol.
35°C or below
98%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent thundery showers and cloud cover have driven unseasonably low temperatures in Lucknow, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) recording a May 4 maximum of 29°C—10.4°C below normal—amid 14.8 mm rainfall, suppressing daytime heating. IMD forecasts partly cloudy skies with further rain/thundershowers likely through May 7 across Uttar Pradesh, including Lucknow, where May 5 highs are expected around 31°C before a gradual 4-6°C rise, potentially reaching 36-38°C per extended range outlooks for central plains. Trader consensus favors ≤35°C at 36% implied probability, reflecting persistent atmospheric instability capping peaks below typical May norms of 39-42°C, though haze and clearing could enable rebound; monitor IMD's May 5 evening bulletin for updated model consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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