Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 34°C (98%) at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos, driven by morning METAR observations showing 29–31°C under scattered clouds and forecast models from AccuWeather projecting a daytime peak of 93°F (34°C) amid partly sunny conditions. This aligns with April climatology in Lagos' tropical monsoon climate, where dry-season highs average 32–33°C but recent numerical weather predictions indicate sufficient solar heating for 34°C given moderate humidity and light southerly winds. NiMet's outlook notes isolated afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures at 33°C if they arrive early, or allow a push to 35°C+ should skies remain clearer longer—scenarios carrying low probability per current model ensembles and real-time data trajectories. Hourly observations through late afternoon will refine this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 30?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 30?
34°C 98.6%
37°C <1%
35°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$59,510 Vol.
$59,510 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
33°C
<1%
34°C
99%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 98.6%
37°C <1%
35°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$59,510 Vol.
$59,510 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
33°C
$6,326 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,889 Vol.
99%
35°C
$6,736 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,482 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$3,153 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$4,621 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 34°C (98%) at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos, driven by morning METAR observations showing 29–31°C under scattered clouds and forecast models from AccuWeather projecting a daytime peak of 93°F (34°C) amid partly sunny conditions. This aligns with April climatology in Lagos' tropical monsoon climate, where dry-season highs average 32–33°C but recent numerical weather predictions indicate sufficient solar heating for 34°C given moderate humidity and light southerly winds. NiMet's outlook notes isolated afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures at 33°C if they arrive early, or allow a push to 35°C+ should skies remain clearer longer—scenarios carrying low probability per current model ensembles and real-time data trajectories. Hourly observations through late afternoon will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Volume
$59,510End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 34°C (98%) at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos, driven by morning METAR observations showing 29–31°C under scattered clouds and forecast models from AccuWeather projecting a daytime peak of 93°F (34°C) amid partly sunny conditions. This aligns with April climatology in Lagos' tropical monsoon climate, where dry-season highs average 32–33°C but recent numerical weather predictions indicate sufficient solar heating for 34°C given moderate humidity and light southerly winds. NiMet's outlook notes isolated afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures at 33°C if they arrive early, or allow a push to 35°C+ should skies remain clearer longer—scenarios carrying low probability per current model ensembles and real-time data trajectories. Hourly observations through late afternoon will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,510End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 34°C (98%) at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos, driven by morning METAR observations showing 29–31°C under scattered clouds and forecast models from AccuWeather projecting a daytime peak of 93°F (34°C) amid partly sunny conditions. This aligns with April climatology in Lagos' tropical monsoon climate, where dry-season highs average 32–33°C but recent numerical weather predictions indicate sufficient solar heating for 34°C given moderate humidity and light southerly winds. NiMet's outlook notes isolated afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures at 33°C if they arrive early, or allow a push to 35°C+ should skies remain clearer longer—scenarios carrying low probability per current model ensembles and real-time data trajectories. Hourly observations through late afternoon will refine this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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