Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ensembles from GFS and ECMWF reflected in aggregator forecasts like Weather.com, project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 7 at around 92°F (33°C), with sunny skies and northerly winds of 15–20 mph fostering sea-breeze moderation that caps peak heating. This trader consensus—tightly clustered 19–23% implied probabilities for 32–35°C—stems from a recent shift from earlier hotter outlooks (e.g., resolved 37°C on May 2), driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing cooler mid-level air advection over the Red Sea coast. Historical May averages near 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport provide context for the below-climatology outlook, though minor model spreads on afternoon convective potential introduce uncertainty; daily forecast updates from NOAA and Saudi NCM will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 7?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 7?
34°C 35%
33°C 28%
35°C 26%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
26%
36°C
13%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 35%
33°C 28%
35°C 26%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
27°C or below
$559 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$650 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$741 Vol.
1%
30°C
$449 Vol.
1%
31°C
$475 Vol.
1%
32°C
$211 Vol.
6%
33°C
$14 Vol.
25%
34°C
$140 Vol.
35%
35°C
$37 Vol.
26%
36°C
$396 Vol.
13%
37°C or higher
$325 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ensembles from GFS and ECMWF reflected in aggregator forecasts like Weather.com, project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 7 at around 92°F (33°C), with sunny skies and northerly winds of 15–20 mph fostering sea-breeze moderation that caps peak heating. This trader consensus—tightly clustered 19–23% implied probabilities for 32–35°C—stems from a recent shift from earlier hotter outlooks (e.g., resolved 37°C on May 2), driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing cooler mid-level air advection over the Red Sea coast. Historical May averages near 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport provide context for the below-climatology outlook, though minor model spreads on afternoon convective potential introduce uncertainty; daily forecast updates from NOAA and Saudi NCM will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$3,956End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ensembles from GFS and ECMWF reflected in aggregator forecasts like Weather.com, project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 7 at around 92°F (33°C), with sunny skies and northerly winds of 15–20 mph fostering sea-breeze moderation that caps peak heating. This trader consensus—tightly clustered 19–23% implied probabilities for 32–35°C—stems from a recent shift from earlier hotter outlooks (e.g., resolved 37°C on May 2), driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing cooler mid-level air advection over the Red Sea coast. Historical May averages near 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport provide context for the below-climatology outlook, though minor model spreads on afternoon convective potential introduce uncertainty; daily forecast updates from NOAA and Saudi NCM will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,956End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ensembles from GFS and ECMWF reflected in aggregator forecasts like Weather.com, project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 7 at around 92°F (33°C), with sunny skies and northerly winds of 15–20 mph fostering sea-breeze moderation that caps peak heating. This trader consensus—tightly clustered 19–23% implied probabilities for 32–35°C—stems from a recent shift from earlier hotter outlooks (e.g., resolved 37°C on May 2), driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing cooler mid-level air advection over the Red Sea coast. Historical May averages near 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport provide context for the below-climatology outlook, though minor model spreads on afternoon convective potential introduce uncertainty; daily forecast updates from NOAA and Saudi NCM will likely sharpen resolution criteria around official airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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