Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Jakarta's May 7 high temperature, with 33°C and 34°C leading at 26.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid BMKG's outlook for light to moderate rain and thunderstorms from May 4–7, capping peaks after recent clearer days nearing 34°C. AccuWeather aligns at 32°C (90°F) under considerable cloudiness and convective activity, driven by neutral ENSO conditions favoring early dry-season warmth but tempered by active atmospheric dynamics over Java. Urban heat island effects and variable cloud breaks differentiate outcomes, as partial clearing could boost highs by 1–2°C above model means near historical May averages of 32°C. Watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 7?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 7?
33°C 38%
34°C 29%
35°C 21%
31°C 6.5%
$16,340 Vol.
$16,340 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C
38%
34°C
29%
35°C
21%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 29%
35°C 21%
31°C 6.5%
$16,340 Vol.
$16,340 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C
38%
34°C
29%
35°C
21%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Jakarta's May 7 high temperature, with 33°C and 34°C leading at 26.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities amid BMKG's outlook for light to moderate rain and thunderstorms from May 4–7, capping peaks after recent clearer days nearing 34°C. AccuWeather aligns at 32°C (90°F) under considerable cloudiness and convective activity, driven by neutral ENSO conditions favoring early dry-season warmth but tempered by active atmospheric dynamics over Java. Urban heat island effects and variable cloud breaks differentiate outcomes, as partial clearing could boost highs by 1–2°C above model means near historical May averages of 32°C. Watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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