Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a peak daytime high of 31–32°C in Chongqing on June 15 under partly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's leading 32°C (37%) and 31°C (29.5%) outcomes. Subtle differences in these probabilities stem from minor model variations in maximum temperature timing and local heat retention amid Chongqing's urban topography and typical early-summer subtropical patterns. No significant recent shifts in atmospheric indices or unexpected moisture influx have altered the consensus, though ongoing monitoring of afternoon convection could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
32°C 37%
31°C 30%
30°C 15%
29°C 13%
$16,466 Vol.
$16,466 Vol.
28°C or below
2%
29°C
13%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
37%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 30%
30°C 15%
29°C 13%
$16,466 Vol.
$16,466 Vol.
28°C or below
2%
29°C
13%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
37%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a peak daytime high of 31–32°C in Chongqing on June 15 under partly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's leading 32°C (37%) and 31°C (29.5%) outcomes. Subtle differences in these probabilities stem from minor model variations in maximum temperature timing and local heat retention amid Chongqing's urban topography and typical early-summer subtropical patterns. No significant recent shifts in atmospheric indices or unexpected moisture influx have altered the consensus, though ongoing monitoring of afternoon convection could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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