**Trader consensus strongly favors a June 15 high of 31°C or below in Chengdu (75.5% implied probability), with 32°C a distant second at 19.0%.** This positioning reflects current numerical weather model guidance and seasonal climatology indicating typical early-summer highs near the long-term June average of 30–31°C at the official Chengdu Shuangliu station. Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com project a high around 32°C (90°F) under cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, while other guidance shows modest variability around 32–34°C. The steep drop-off in probabilities above 32°C aligns with historical data showing rare exceedances of 33°C this early in June, absent strong subtropical ridge amplification or clear-sky radiative heating. Key upcoming inputs include the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any official updates from Chinese meteorological authorities, which could refine boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns affecting maximum temperatures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 76%
32°C 19%
33°C 5%
34°C 2.6%
NUEVO
$21,694 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,694 Vol.
15 jun 2026
31°C or below
76%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 76%
32°C 19%
33°C 5%
34°C 2.6%
NUEVO
$21,694 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,694 Vol.
15 jun 2026
31°C or below
$5,292 Vol.
76%
32°C
$2,613 Vol.
19%
33°C
$1,746 Vol.
5%
34°C
$2,145 Vol.
3%
35°C
$3,542 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,637 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,554 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$647 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a June 15 high of 31°C or below in Chengdu (75.5% implied probability), with 32°C a distant second at 19.0%.** This positioning reflects current numerical weather model guidance and seasonal climatology indicating typical early-summer highs near the long-term June average of 30–31°C at the official Chengdu Shuangliu station. Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com project a high around 32°C (90°F) under cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, while other guidance shows modest variability around 32–34°C. The steep drop-off in probabilities above 32°C aligns with historical data showing rare exceedances of 33°C this early in June, absent strong subtropical ridge amplification or clear-sky radiative heating. Key upcoming inputs include the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any official updates from Chinese meteorological authorities, which could refine boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns affecting maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$21,694Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a June 15 high of 31°C or below in Chengdu (75.5% implied probability), with 32°C a distant second at 19.0%.** This positioning reflects current numerical weather model guidance and seasonal climatology indicating typical early-summer highs near the long-term June average of 30–31°C at the official Chengdu Shuangliu station. Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com project a high around 32°C (90°F) under cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, while other guidance shows modest variability around 32–34°C. The steep drop-off in probabilities above 32°C aligns with historical data showing rare exceedances of 33°C this early in June, absent strong subtropical ridge amplification or clear-sky radiative heating. Key upcoming inputs include the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any official updates from Chinese meteorological authorities, which could refine boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns affecting maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,694Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a June 15 high of 31°C or below in Chengdu (75.5% implied probability), with 32°C a distant second at 19.0%.** This positioning reflects current numerical weather model guidance and seasonal climatology indicating typical early-summer highs near the long-term June average of 30–31°C at the official Chengdu Shuangliu station. Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com project a high around 32°C (90°F) under cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, while other guidance shows modest variability around 32–34°C. The steep drop-off in probabilities above 32°C aligns with historical data showing rare exceedances of 33°C this early in June, absent strong subtropical ridge amplification or clear-sky radiative heating. Key upcoming inputs include the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any official updates from Chinese meteorological authorities, which could refine boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns affecting maximum temperatures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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