Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on June 15 under sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River basin features progressive seasonal warming with average highs of 30–32°C, modulated by subtropical high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits convective cooling. Minor model spread around 31–33°C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band given the absence of stronger warm advection or anomalous ridging. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
32°C 43%
31°C 32%
33°C 22%
34°C 3.5%
$10,899 Vol.
$10,899 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
32%
32°C
43%
33°C
22%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
31°C 32%
33°C 22%
34°C 3.5%
$10,899 Vol.
$10,899 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
32%
32°C
43%
33°C
22%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on June 15 under sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River basin features progressive seasonal warming with average highs of 30–32°C, modulated by subtropical high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits convective cooling. Minor model spread around 31–33°C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band given the absence of stronger warm advection or anomalous ridging. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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