Strong trader consensus around a 74-75°F high for San Francisco on June 14 stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting seasonable mid-June conditions under moderate onshore flow and partial marine layer influence. These typically cap coastal highs in the low-to-mid 70s, aligning with historical climatology where averages hover near 68-70°F but daily variability often reaches the mid-70s absent strong upwelling or persistent stratus. The implied probability above 98% reflects minimal expected deviation from current guidance. Realistic challenges include a faster or thicker marine layer intrusion suppressing temperatures into the low 70s, or clearer skies and lighter winds permitting brief warming above 76°F before resolution via the official NWS climatological report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
74-75°F 98.9%
76-77°F 1.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$52,067 Vol.
$52,067 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
99%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 98.9%
76-77°F 1.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$52,067 Vol.
$52,067 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$5,395 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5,409 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,596 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$5,301 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$6,632 Vol.
99%
76-77°F
$6,776 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$8,992 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$5,766 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$3,000 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,280 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$947 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a 74-75°F high for San Francisco on June 14 stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting seasonable mid-June conditions under moderate onshore flow and partial marine layer influence. These typically cap coastal highs in the low-to-mid 70s, aligning with historical climatology where averages hover near 68-70°F but daily variability often reaches the mid-70s absent strong upwelling or persistent stratus. The implied probability above 98% reflects minimal expected deviation from current guidance. Realistic challenges include a faster or thicker marine layer intrusion suppressing temperatures into the low 70s, or clearer skies and lighter winds permitting brief warming above 76°F before resolution via the official NWS climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Volume
$52,067End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a 74-75°F high for San Francisco on June 14 stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting seasonable mid-June conditions under moderate onshore flow and partial marine layer influence. These typically cap coastal highs in the low-to-mid 70s, aligning with historical climatology where averages hover near 68-70°F but daily variability often reaches the mid-70s absent strong upwelling or persistent stratus. The implied probability above 98% reflects minimal expected deviation from current guidance. Realistic challenges include a faster or thicker marine layer intrusion suppressing temperatures into the low 70s, or clearer skies and lighter winds permitting brief warming above 76°F before resolution via the official NWS climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,067End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around a 74-75°F high for San Francisco on June 14 stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting seasonable mid-June conditions under moderate onshore flow and partial marine layer influence. These typically cap coastal highs in the low-to-mid 70s, aligning with historical climatology where averages hover near 68-70°F but daily variability often reaches the mid-70s absent strong upwelling or persistent stratus. The implied probability above 98% reflects minimal expected deviation from current guidance. Realistic challenges include a faster or thicker marine layer intrusion suppressing temperatures into the low 70s, or clearer skies and lighter winds permitting brief warming above 76°F before resolution via the official NWS climatological report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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