Ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies show the highest temperature in Chongqing on June 16 most likely falling between 28–30 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing enough solar radiation for readings near seasonal norms for mid-June; small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects within the Sichuan Basin create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 16?
29°C 30%
28°C 23.9%
27°C or below 17.3%
30°C 17%
27°C or below
17%
28°C
24%
29°C
30%
30°C
17%
31°C
9%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 30%
28°C 23.9%
27°C or below 17.3%
30°C 17%
27°C or below
17%
28°C
24%
29°C
30%
30°C
17%
31°C
9%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies show the highest temperature in Chongqing on June 16 most likely falling between 28–30 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture are expected to limit daytime heating while allowing enough solar radiation for readings near seasonal norms for mid-June; small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects within the Sichuan Basin create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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